Bucks vs Clippers prediction NBA · Monday, March 23
At a glance
The LA Clippers (35-36) host the Milwaukee Bucks (29-41) on Monday, March 23 at 10:30 PM ET at Intuit Dome in NBA action. Final score: Bucks 96 – Clippers 129. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Clippers a 71% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Clippers are 19-15 at home and the Bucks are 13-22 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 5-5 for the Clippers and 3-7 for the Bucks (current streaks: Clippers W1, Bucks W1).
The analysis Model
Slight edge to the Clippers, but the Bucks have what it takes to keep it close. The model projects Clippers 117 – 110 Bucks, a margin of about 6.8 points in favor of the Clippers and a total around 227 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace.
- The overall strength gap (+1.0 vs -3.5 pts/game) is the main factor.
- The Bucks need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
- The Clippers' defense allows clearly fewer points (112.3 pts/game).
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison Current season
MILLAC
Top performers
Bucks
Gary Trent Jr.G · #520pts / game
Ryan RollinsG · #137assists
Pete NanceF · #356rebounds
Clippers
Kawhi LeonardF · #228pts / game
Darius GarlandG · #106assists
Kawhi LeonardF · #25reboundsRecent form
MIL
LACTeam comparison
| MIL | LAC | |
|---|---|---|
| 29-41 | Record | 35-36 |
| 111.6 | Points scored / game | 113.4 |
| 115.7 | Points allowed / game | 112.3 |
| -3.5 | Adjusted margin / game | +1.0 |
| W1 | Current streak | W1 |
| 3-7 | Last 10 games | 5-5 |
| 13-22 road | Home / road record | 19-15 home |
| 48-34 (+2.5) | Last season | 50-32 (+4.7) |
| No | Played yesterday | No |
Injury report Bucks
Injury report Clippers
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.
MIL