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Bucks vs Clippers prediction NBA · Monday, March 23

FinalIntuit Dome · FanDuel SN WI, NBA League Pass, FanDuel SN SoCal
Milwaukee Bucks
Milwaukee Bucks
29-42 · away
Final score
96-129
Projected: 110-117
LA Clippers
LA Clippers
36-36 · home
29% win MILwin LAC 71%
FavoriteLAC
Projected margin6.8
Projected total227
ConfidenceMedium

At a glance

The LA Clippers (35-36) host the Milwaukee Bucks (29-41) on Monday, March 23 at 10:30 PM ET at Intuit Dome in NBA action. Final score: Bucks 96 – Clippers 129. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Clippers a 71% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Clippers are 19-15 at home and the Bucks are 13-22 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 5-5 for the Clippers and 3-7 for the Bucks (current streaks: Clippers W1, Bucks W1).

The analysis Model

Slight edge to the Clippers, but the Bucks have what it takes to keep it close. The model projects Clippers 117 – 110 Bucks, a margin of about 6.8 points in favor of the Clippers and a total around 227 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace.

  • The overall strength gap (+1.0 vs -3.5 pts/game) is the main factor.
  • The Bucks need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
  • The Clippers' defense allows clearly fewer points (112.3 pts/game).

What tips the balance

In points, positive = edge Clippers
Team strength (adjusted point differential)LAC +1.0 / MIL -3.5 per game
+4.5
Home-court advantageClippers at home
+2.3
Expected marginfor Clippers
+6.8

Scenarios

Clippers win by 10+
40%
Close game (margin ≤ 5)
27%
Bucks win by 10+
9%

Stat comparison Current season

MILLAC
111.6
Points scored / game
113.4
115.7
Points allowed / game
112.3
44.9 %
Field goal %
45.9 %
34.0 %
3-point %
39.0 %
41.2
3-pointers attempted / game
35.3
71.6 %
Free throw %
78.6 %
49.8
Rebounds / game
40.8
24.6
Assists / game
25.0
5.8
Steals / game
12.5
4.0
Blocks / game
4.5
16.8
Turnovers / game
23.0

Top performers

Bucks
Gary Trent Jr.G · #520pts / game
Ryan RollinsG · #137assists
Pete NanceF · #356rebounds
Clippers
Kawhi LeonardF · #228pts / game
Darius GarlandG · #106assists
Kawhi LeonardF · #25rebounds

Recent form

Last 5 games (including preseason early in the season)
MIL
No games played yet.
LAC
No games played yet.

Head-to-head

LAC lead 2-0 this season.

Team comparison

MILLAC
29-41Record35-36
111.6Points scored / game113.4
115.7Points allowed / game112.3
-3.5Adjusted margin / game+1.0
W1Current streakW1
3-7Last 10 games5-5
13-22 roadHome / road record19-15 home
48-34 (+2.5)Last season50-32 (+4.7)
NoPlayed yesterdayNo

Milwaukee Bucks Injury report Bucks

No injuries reported.

LA Clippers Injury report Clippers

No injuries reported.

Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.