Match analysisToday's gamesNBA standingsEuroLeagueTrack record
← Back

Bulls vs Grizzlies prediction NBA · Saturday, March 28

FinalFedExForum · CHSN, NBA League Pass, FanDuel SN SE
39% win CHIwin MEM 61%
FavoriteMEM
Projected margin3.5
Projected total234
ConfidenceMedium

At a glance

The Memphis Grizzlies (24-49) host the Chicago Bulls (29-44) on Saturday, March 28 at 8:00 PM ET at FedExForum in NBA action. Final score: Bulls 124 – Grizzlies 125. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Grizzlies a 61% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Grizzlies are 13-23 at home and the Bulls are 11-24 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 1-9 for the Grizzlies and 3-7 for the Bulls (current streaks: Grizzlies L5, Bulls L2).

The analysis Model

The Grizzlies are favored, but the gap isn't huge. The model projects Grizzlies 119 – 115 Bulls, a margin of about 3.5 points in favor of the Grizzlies and a total around 234 points. Expect a fast-paced, high-scoring game. The Grizzlies and the Bulls played yesterday: fatigue often shows in the fourth quarter.

  • The Bulls need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.

What tips the balance

In points, positive = edge Grizzlies
Team strength (adjusted point differential)MEM -2.4 / CHI -3.6 per game
+1.2
Home-court advantageGrizzlies at home
+2.3
Expected marginfor Grizzlies
+3.5

Scenarios

Grizzlies win by 10+
30%
Close game (margin ≤ 5)
30%
Bulls win by 10+
14%

Stat comparison Current season

CHIMEM
116.5
Points scored / game
116.0
120.7
Points allowed / game
118.8
42.1 %
Field goal %
45.3 %
27.6 %
3-point %
39.1 %
42.0
3-pointers attempted / game
37.8
78.6 %
Free throw %
82.8 %
44.8
Rebounds / game
50.0
24.4
Assists / game
25.0
9.0
Steals / game
6.3
4.8
Blocks / game
6.3
17.8
Turnovers / game
15.5

Top performers

Bulls
Matas BuzelisF · #1429pts / game
Josh GiddeyG · #310assists
Josh GiddeyG · #313rebounds
Grizzlies
Cedric CowardF · #2324pts / game
Walter Clayton Jr.G · #16assists
Cedric CowardF · #239rebounds

Recent form

Last 5 games (including preseason early in the season)
CHI
No games played yet.
MEM
No games played yet.

Head-to-head

Tied 1-1 this season.

Team comparison

CHIMEM
29-44Record24-49
116.5Points scored / game116.0
120.7Points allowed / game118.8
-3.6Adjusted margin / game-2.4
L2Current streakL5
3-7Last 10 games1-9
11-24 roadHome / road record13-23 home
39-43 (-1.6)Last season48-34 (+4.9)
YesPlayed yesterdayYes

Chicago Bulls Injury report Bulls

No injuries reported.

Memphis Grizzlies Injury report Grizzlies

No injuries reported.

Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.