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Grizzlies vs Bulls prediction NBA · Monday, March 16

FinalUnited Center · CHSN, FanDuel SN SE, NBA League Pass
49% win MEMwin CHI 51%
FavoriteCHI
Projected margin0.2
Projected total235
ConfidenceLow

At a glance

The Chicago Bulls (27-40) host the Memphis Grizzlies (23-43) on Monday, March 16 at 8:00 PM ET at United Center in NBA action. Final score: Grizzlies 107 – Bulls 132. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Bulls a 51% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Bulls are 16-18 at home and the Grizzlies are 11-23 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 3-7 for the Bulls and 2-8 for the Grizzlies (current streaks: Bulls L2, Grizzlies L7).

The analysis Model

A wide-open game: the model barely separates the two teams. The model projects Bulls 119 – 118 Grizzlies, a margin of about 0.2 points in favor of the Bulls and a total around 235 points. Expect a fast-paced, high-scoring game.

  • The Grizzlies need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.

What tips the balance

In points, positive = edge Bulls
Team strength (adjusted point differential)CHI -3.4 / MEM -1.3 per game
-2.1
Home-court advantageBulls at home
+2.3
Expected marginfor Bulls
+0.2

Scenarios

Bulls win by 10+
22%
Close game (margin ≤ 5)
31%
Grizzlies win by 10+
21%

Stat comparison Current season

MEMCHI
116.6
Points scored / game
116.1
118.2
Points allowed / game
120.1
45.3 %
Field goal %
42.1 %
39.1 %
3-point %
27.6 %
37.8
3-pointers attempted / game
42.0
82.8 %
Free throw %
78.6 %
50.0
Rebounds / game
44.8
25.0
Assists / game
24.4
6.3
Steals / game
9.0
6.3
Blocks / game
4.8
15.5
Turnovers / game
17.8

Top performers

Grizzlies
Cedric CowardF · #2317pts / game
Walter Clayton Jr.G · #17assists
Tyler BurtonF8rebounds
Bulls
Matas BuzelisF · #1429pts / game
Josh GiddeyG · #313assists
Josh GiddeyG · #315rebounds

Recent form

Last 5 games (including preseason early in the season)
MEM
No games played yet.
CHI
No games played yet.

Head-to-head

Tied 1-1 this season.

Team comparison

MEMCHI
23-43Record27-40
116.6Points scored / game116.1
118.2Points allowed / game120.1
-1.3Adjusted margin / game-3.4
L7Current streakL2
2-8Last 10 games3-7
11-23 roadHome / road record16-18 home
48-34 (+4.9)Last season39-43 (-1.6)
NoPlayed yesterdayNo

Memphis Grizzlies Injury report Grizzlies

No injuries reported.

Chicago Bulls Injury report Bulls

No injuries reported.

Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.