Spurs vs Bucks prediction NBA · Saturday, March 28
At a glance
The Milwaukee Bucks (29-43) host the San Antonio Spurs (55-19) on Saturday, March 28 at 3:00 PM ET at Fiserv Forum in NBA action. Final score: Spurs 127 – Bucks 95. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Spurs a 71% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Bucks are 16-19 at home and the Spurs are 27-12 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 2-8 for the Bucks and 9-1 for the Spurs (current streaks: Bucks L2, Spurs W7).
The analysis Model
Slight edge to the Spurs, but the Bucks have what it takes to keep it close. The model projects Bucks 111 – 118 Spurs, a margin of about 6.9 points in favor of the Spurs and a total around 229 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace.
- The overall strength gap (-4.1 vs +5.2 pts/game) is the main factor.
- The Bucks need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
- The Spurs' offense (118.5 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.
- The Spurs' defense allows clearly fewer points (112.3 pts/game).
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison Current season
SAMIL
Top performers
Spurs
Victor WembanyamaF · #123pts / game
Stephon CastleG · #510assistsVictor WembanyamaF · #115reboundsBucks
Gary Trent Jr.G · #518pts / game
Ousmane DiengF · #215assists
Jericho SimsC · #0010reboundsRecent form
SAMIL
MIL
Team comparison
| SA | MIL | |
|---|---|---|
| 55-19 | Record | 29-43 |
| 118.5 | Points scored / game | 111.3 |
| 112.3 | Points allowed / game | 116.1 |
| +5.2 | Adjusted margin / game | -4.1 |
| W7 | Current streak | L2 |
| 9-1 | Last 10 games | 2-8 |
| 27-12 road | Home / road record | 16-19 home |
| 34-48 (-2.8) | Last season | 48-34 (+2.5) |
| No | Played yesterday | No |
Injury report Spurs
Injury report Bucks
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.