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Nets vs Lakers prediction NBA · Friday, March 27

Finalcrypto.com Arena · Spectrum Sports Net, Spectrum Sports Net +, YES, NBA League Pass, DAZN (YES)
18% win BKNwin LAL 82%
FavoriteLAL
Projected margin11.3
Projected total226
ConfidenceHigh

At a glance

The Los Angeles Lakers (47-26) host the Brooklyn Nets (17-56) on Friday, March 27 at 10:30 PM ET at crypto.com Arena in NBA action. Final score: Nets 99 – Lakers 116. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Lakers a 82% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Lakers are 23-12 at home and the Nets are 8-30 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 9-1 for the Lakers and 1-9 for the Nets (current streaks: Lakers W1, Nets L9).

The analysis Model

The Lakers start with a clear edge. The model projects Lakers 119 – 107 Nets, a margin of about 11.3 points in favor of the Lakers and a total around 226 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace.

  • The overall strength gap (+1.3 vs -7.7 pts/game) is the main factor.
  • The Nets need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
  • The Lakers' offense (116.2 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.

What tips the balance

In points, positive = edge Lakers
Team strength (adjusted point differential)LAL +1.3 / BKN -7.7 per game
+9.0
Home-court advantageLakers at home
+2.3
Expected marginfor Lakers
+11.3

Scenarios

Lakers win by 10+
54%
Close game (margin ≤ 5)
21%
Nets win by 10+
4%

Stat comparison Current season

BKNLAL
106.1
Points scored / game
116.2
115.2
Points allowed / game
114.7
42.9 %
Field goal %
52.9 %
36.7 %
3-point %
39.2 %
42.3
3-pointers attempted / game
36.2
76.6 %
Free throw %
79.1 %
43.5
Rebounds / game
38.0
24.0
Assists / game
24.0
10.0
Steals / game
10.8
4.0
Blocks / game
5.8
17.5
Turnovers / game
16.6

Top performers

Nets
Josh MinottF · #0018pts / game
Nolan TraoreG · #107assists
Nic ClaxtonC · #97rebounds
Lakers
Luka DoncicG · #7741pts / game
LeBron JamesF · #238assists
Luka DoncicG · #778rebounds

Recent form

Last 5 games (including preseason early in the season)
BKN
No games played yet.
LAL
No games played yet.

Head-to-head

LAL lead 2-0 this season.

Team comparison

BKNLAL
17-56Record47-26
106.1Points scored / game116.2
115.2Points allowed / game114.7
-7.7Adjusted margin / game+1.3
L9Current streakW1
1-9Last 10 games9-1
8-30 roadHome / road record23-12 home
26-56 (-7.1)Last season50-32 (+1.2)
NoPlayed yesterdayNo

Brooklyn Nets Injury report Nets

No injuries reported.

Los Angeles Lakers Injury report Lakers

No injuries reported.

Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.