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Lakers vs Nets prediction NBA · Tuesday, February 3

FinalBarclays Center · NBA League Pass, Spectrum Sports Net, Spectrum Sports Net +, YES, DAZN (YES)
63% win LALwin BKN 37%
FavoriteLAL
Projected margin4.2
Projected total226
ConfidenceMedium

At a glance

The Brooklyn Nets (13-35) host the Los Angeles Lakers (29-19) on Tuesday, February 3 at 7:30 PM ET at Barclays Center in NBA action. Final score: Lakers 125 – Nets 109. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Lakers a 63% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Nets are 6-17 at home and the Lakers are 17-11 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 2-8 for the Nets and 5-5 for the Lakers (current streaks: Nets L1, Lakers L1).

The analysis Model

The Lakers are favored, but the gap isn't huge. The model projects Nets 111 – 115 Lakers, a margin of about 4.2 points in favor of the Lakers and a total around 226 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace.

  • The overall strength gap (-6.4 vs +0.1 pts/game) is the main factor.
  • The Nets need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
  • The Lakers' offense (115.6 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.

What tips the balance

In points, positive = edge Nets
Team strength (adjusted point differential)BKN -6.4 / LAL +0.1 per game
-6.5
Home-court advantageNets at home
+2.3
Expected marginfor Nets
-4.2

Scenarios

Nets win by 10+
13%
Close game (margin ≤ 5)
29%
Lakers win by 10+
32%

Stat comparison Current season

LALBKN
115.6
Points scored / game
106.7
115.5
Points allowed / game
114.2
52.9 %
Field goal %
42.9 %
39.2 %
3-point %
36.7 %
36.2
3-pointers attempted / game
42.3
79.1 %
Free throw %
76.6 %
38.0
Rebounds / game
43.5
24.0
Assists / game
24.0
10.8
Steals / game
10.0
5.8
Blocks / game
4.0
16.6
Turnovers / game
17.5

Top performers

Lakers
LeBron JamesF · #2325pts / game
LeBron JamesF · #237assists
Deandre AytonC · #88rebounds
Nets
Michael Porter Jr.F · #1721pts / game
Day'Ron SharpeC · #205assists
Day'Ron SharpeC · #2014rebounds

Recent form

Last 5 games (including preseason early in the season)
LAL
No games played yet.
BKN
No games played yet.

Head-to-head

LAL lead 2-0 this season.

Team comparison

LALBKN
29-19Record13-35
115.6Points scored / game106.7
115.5Points allowed / game114.2
+0.1Adjusted margin / game-6.4
L1Current streakL1
5-5Last 10 games2-8
17-11 roadHome / road record6-17 home
50-32 (+1.2)Last season26-56 (-7.1)
NoPlayed yesterdayNo

Los Angeles Lakers Injury report Lakers

No injuries reported.

Brooklyn Nets Injury report Nets

No injuries reported.

Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.