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Wizards vs Warriors prediction NBA · Friday, March 27

FinalChase Center · MNMT, NBA League Pass, NBC Sports BA
16% win WSHwin GS 84%
FavoriteGS
Projected margin12.5
Projected total232
ConfidenceHigh

At a glance

The Golden State Warriors (35-38) host the Washington Wizards (17-55) on Friday, March 27 at 10:00 PM ET at Chase Center in NBA action. Final score: Wizards 126 – Warriors 131. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Warriors a 84% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Warriors are 20-15 at home and the Wizards are 6-29 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 3-7 for the Warriors and 1-9 for the Wizards (current streaks: Warriors W2, Wizards W1).

The analysis Model

The Warriors start with a clear edge. The model projects Warriors 122 – 110 Wizards, a margin of about 12.5 points in favor of the Warriors and a total around 232 points. Expect a fast-paced, high-scoring game.

  • The overall strength gap (+0.6 vs -9.6 pts/game) is the main factor.
  • The Wizards need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
  • The Warriors' defense allows clearly fewer points (114.2 pts/game).

What tips the balance

In points, positive = edge Warriors
Team strength (adjusted point differential)GS +0.6 / WSH -9.6 per game
+10.2
Home-court advantageWarriors at home
+2.3
Expected marginfor Warriors
+12.5

Scenarios

Warriors win by 10+
58%
Close game (margin ≤ 5)
19%
Wizards win by 10+
4%

Stat comparison Current season

WSHGS
112.1
Points scored / game
114.8
123.4
Points allowed / game
114.2
48.0 %
Field goal %
45.0 %
28.5 %
3-point %
36.9 %
31.6
3-pointers attempted / game
39.0
83.1 %
Free throw %
82.2 %
40.0
Rebounds / game
43.8
25.8
Assists / game
25.6
7.4
Steals / game
9.6
5.6
Blocks / game
3.8
13.6
Turnovers / game
16.8

Top performers

Wizards
Will RileyG · #2722pts / game
Will RileyG · #275assists
Alex SarrC · #209rebounds
Warriors
Kristaps PorzingisC · #728pts / game
Draymond GreenF · #2310assists
Brandin PodziemskiG · #210rebounds

Recent form

Last 5 games (including preseason early in the season)
WSH
No games played yet.
GS
No games played yet.

Head-to-head

GS lead 2-0 this season.

Team comparison

WSHGS
17-55Record35-38
112.1Points scored / game114.8
123.4Points allowed / game114.2
-9.6Adjusted margin / game+0.6
W1Current streakW2
1-9Last 10 games3-7
6-29 roadHome / road record20-15 home
18-64 (-12.4)Last season48-34 (+3.3)
NoPlayed yesterdayNo

Washington Wizards Injury report Wizards

No injuries reported.

Golden State Warriors Injury report Warriors

No injuries reported.

Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.