Warriors vs Wizards prediction NBA · Monday, March 16
At a glance
The Washington Wizards (16-50) host the Golden State Warriors (32-35) on Monday, March 16 at 7:00 PM ET at Capital One Arena in NBA action. Final score: Warriors 125 – Wizards 117. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Warriors a 70% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Wizards are 11-22 at home and the Warriors are 13-20 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 0-10 for the Wizards and 2-8 for the Warriors (current streaks: Wizards L11, Warriors L5).
The analysis Model
Slight edge to the Warriors, but the Wizards have what it takes to keep it close. The model projects Wizards 112 – 119 Warriors, a margin of about 6.6 points in favor of the Warriors and a total around 230 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace. The Warriors played yesterday: fatigue often shows in the fourth quarter.
- The overall strength gap (-9.6 vs +1.0 pts/game) is the main factor.
- The Wizards need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
- The Warriors' defense allows clearly fewer points (113.8 pts/game).
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison Current season
GSWSH
Top performers
Warriors
Kristaps PorzingisC · #730pts / game
Draymond GreenF · #237assistsDraymond GreenF · #238reboundsWizards
Bilal CoulibalyG · #021pts / game
Will RileyG · #275assistsBilal CoulibalyG · #08reboundsRecent form
GSWSH
GS
Team comparison
| GS | WSH | |
|---|---|---|
| 32-35 | Record | 16-50 |
| 114.9 | Points scored / game | 111.9 |
| 113.8 | Points allowed / game | 123.2 |
| +1.0 | Adjusted margin / game | -9.6 |
| L5 | Current streak | L11 |
| 2-8 | Last 10 games | 0-10 |
| 13-20 road | Home / road record | 11-22 home |
| 48-34 (+3.3) | Last season | 18-64 (-12.4) |
| Yes | Played yesterday | No |
Injury report Warriors
Injury report Wizards
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.