Pelicans vs Raptors prediction NBA · Friday, March 27
At a glance
The Toronto Raptors (40-32) host the New Orleans Pelicans (25-49) on Friday, March 27 at 8:30 PM ET at Scotiabank Arena in NBA action. Final score: Pelicans 106 – Raptors 119. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Raptors a 75% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Raptors are 19-16 at home and the Pelicans are 9-27 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 5-5 for the Raptors and 5-5 for the Pelicans (current streaks: Raptors L1, Pelicans L3).
The analysis Model
The Raptors start with a clear edge. The model projects Raptors 119 – 110 Pelicans, a margin of about 8.5 points in favor of the Raptors and a total around 229 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace. The Pelicans played yesterday: fatigue often shows in the fourth quarter.
- The overall strength gap (+0.6 vs -4.0 pts/game) is the main factor.
- The Pelicans need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
- The Raptors' defense allows clearly fewer points (112.8 pts/game).
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison Current season
NOTOR
Top performers
Pelicans
Zion WilliamsonF · #122pts / game
Jordan PooleG · #36assists
Derik QueenC · #228reboundsRaptors
Scottie BarnesF · #423pts / gameScottie BarnesF · #412assists
Jakob PoeltlC · #1911reboundsRecent form
NOTOR
TOR
Team comparison
| NO | TOR | |
|---|---|---|
| 25-49 | Record | 40-32 |
| 114.6 | Points scored / game | 113.5 |
| 119.3 | Points allowed / game | 112.8 |
| -4.0 | Adjusted margin / game | +0.6 |
| L3 | Current streak | L1 |
| 5-5 | Last 10 games | 5-5 |
| 9-27 road | Home / road record | 19-16 home |
| 21-61 (-9.4) | Last season | 30-52 (-4.3) |
| Yes | Played yesterday | No |
Injury report Pelicans
Injury report Raptors
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.