Bulls vs Thunder prediction NBA · Friday, March 27
At a glance
The Oklahoma City Thunder (57-16) host the Chicago Bulls (29-43) on Friday, March 27 at 8:00 PM ET at Paycom Center in NBA action. Final score: Bulls 113 – Thunder 131. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Thunder a 89% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Thunder are 29-7 at home and the Bulls are 11-23 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 9-1 for the Thunder and 4-6 for the Bulls (current streaks: Thunder L1, Bulls L1).
The analysis Model
On paper, the Thunder dominate this matchup. The model projects Thunder 124 – 108 Bulls, a margin of about 15.3 points in favor of the Thunder and a total around 232 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace.
- The overall strength gap (+9.6 vs -3.4 pts/game) is the main factor.
- The Bulls need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
- The Thunder's defense allows clearly fewer points (107.6 pts/game).
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison Current season
CHIOKC
Top performers
Bulls
Collin SextonG · #1022pts / game
Josh GiddeyG · #311assists
Matas BuzelisF · #149reboundsThunder
Shai Gilgeous-AlexanderG · #225pts / game
Jalen WilliamsG · #88assists
Isaiah HartensteinC · #5516reboundsRecent form
CHIOKC
OKC
Team comparison
| CHI | OKC | |
|---|---|---|
| 29-43 | Record | 57-16 |
| 116.5 | Points scored / game | 118.9 |
| 120.6 | Points allowed / game | 107.6 |
| -3.4 | Adjusted margin / game | +9.6 |
| L1 | Current streak | L1 |
| 4-6 | Last 10 games | 9-1 |
| 11-23 road | Home / road record | 29-7 home |
| 39-43 (-1.6) | Last season | 68-14 (+12.9) |
| No | Played yesterday | No |
Injury report Bulls
Injury report Thunder
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.