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Thunder vs Bulls prediction NBA · Tuesday, March 3

FinalUnited Center · CHSN, FanDuel SN OK, NBA League Pass
81% win OKCwin CHI 19%
FavoriteOKC
Projected margin10.8
Projected total232
ConfidenceHigh

At a glance

The Chicago Bulls (25-36) host the Oklahoma City Thunder (47-15) on Tuesday, March 3 at 8:00 PM ET at United Center in NBA action. Final score: Thunder 116 – Bulls 108. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Thunder a 81% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Bulls are 16-17 at home and the Thunder are 22-8 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 1-9 for the Bulls and 7-3 for the Thunder (current streaks: Bulls W1, Thunder W2).

The analysis Model

The Thunder start with a clear edge. The model projects Bulls 110 – 121 Thunder, a margin of about 10.8 points in favor of the Thunder and a total around 232 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace.

  • The overall strength gap (-3.2 vs +9.8 pts/game) is the main factor.
  • The Bulls need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
  • The Thunder's offense (119.4 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.
  • The Thunder's defense allows clearly fewer points (107.8 pts/game).

What tips the balance

In points, positive = edge Bulls
Team strength (adjusted point differential)CHI -3.2 / OKC +9.8 per game
-13.1
Home-court advantageBulls at home
+2.3
Expected marginfor Bulls
-10.8

Scenarios

Bulls win by 10+
5%
Close game (margin ≤ 5)
22%
Thunder win by 10+
52%

Stat comparison Current season

OKCCHI
119.4
Points scored / game
116.1
107.8
Points allowed / game
120.0
44.0 %
Field goal %
42.1 %
30.9 %
3-point %
27.6 %
32.4
3-pointers attempted / game
42.0
86.4 %
Free throw %
78.6 %
46.0
Rebounds / game
44.8
22.0
Assists / game
24.4
8.4
Steals / game
9.0
6.8
Blocks / game
4.8
13.6
Turnovers / game
17.8

Top performers

Thunder
Jared McCainG · #320pts / game
Jaylin WilliamsF · #66assists
Jaylin WilliamsF · #616rebounds
Bulls
Collin SextonG · #1020pts / game
Josh GiddeyG · #39assists
Nick RichardsC · #813rebounds

Recent form

Last 5 games (including preseason early in the season)
OKC
No games played yet.
CHI
No games played yet.

Head-to-head

OKC lead 2-0 this season.

Team comparison

OKCCHI
47-15Record25-36
119.4Points scored / game116.1
107.8Points allowed / game120.0
+9.8Adjusted margin / game-3.2
W2Current streakW1
7-3Last 10 games1-9
22-8 roadHome / road record16-17 home
68-14 (+12.9)Last season39-43 (-1.6)
NoPlayed yesterdayNo

Oklahoma City Thunder Injury report Thunder

No injuries reported.

Chicago Bulls Injury report Bulls

No injuries reported.

Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.