Thunder vs Celtics prediction NBA · Wednesday, March 25
At a glance
The Boston Celtics (47-24) host the Oklahoma City Thunder (57-15) on Wednesday, March 25 at 7:30 PM ET at TD Garden in NBA action. Final score: Thunder 109 – Celtics 119. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Thunder a 54% chance to win: prediction missed. This season, the Celtics are 24-11 at home and the Thunder are 28-8 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 6-4 for the Celtics and 10-0 for the Thunder (current streaks: Celtics L1, Thunder W12).
The analysis Model
Close to a coin flip: nothing really sets either side apart. The model projects Celtics 111 – 113 Thunder, a margin of about 1.1 points in favor of the Thunder and a total around 224 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace.
- The Celtics need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
- The Thunder's offense (119.0 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison Current season
OKCBOS
Top performers
Thunder
Shai Gilgeous-AlexanderG · #233pts / gameShai Gilgeous-AlexanderG · #28assists
Luguentz DortG · #05reboundsCeltics
Jaylen BrownG · #731pts / gameJaylen BrownG · #78assists
Jayson TatumF · #012reboundsRecent form
OKCBOS
BOS
Team comparison
| OKC | BOS | |
|---|---|---|
| 57-15 | Record | 47-24 |
| 119.0 | Points scored / game | 114.4 |
| 107.5 | Points allowed / game | 107.0 |
| +9.8 | Adjusted margin / game | +6.3 |
| W12 | Current streak | L1 |
| 10-0 | Last 10 games | 6-4 |
| 28-8 road | Home / road record | 24-11 home |
| 68-14 (+12.9) | Last season | 61-21 (+9.1) |
| No | Played yesterday | No |
Injury report Thunder
Injury report Celtics
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.