Celtics vs Thunder prediction NBA · Thursday, March 12
At a glance
The Oklahoma City Thunder (51-15) host the Boston Celtics (43-22) on Thursday, March 12 at 9:30 PM ET at Paycom Center in NBA action. Final score: Celtics 102 – Thunder 104. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Thunder a 67% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Thunder are 27-7 at home and the Celtics are 22-12 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 9-1 for the Thunder and 7-3 for the Celtics (current streaks: Thunder W6, Celtics L1).
The analysis Model
The Thunder are favored, but the gap isn't huge. The model projects Thunder 115 – 110 Celtics, a margin of about 5.4 points in favor of the Thunder and a total around 224 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace.
- The Celtics need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
- The Thunder's offense (119.1 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison Current season
BOSOKC
Top performers
Celtics
Jaylen BrownG · #734pts / gameJaylen BrownG · #77assists
Neemias QuetaC · #8810reboundsThunder
Shai Gilgeous-AlexanderG · #235pts / gameShai Gilgeous-AlexanderG · #29assists
Chet HolmgrenC · #79reboundsRecent form
BOSOKC
BOS
Team comparison
| BOS | OKC | |
|---|---|---|
| 43-22 | Record | 51-15 |
| 114.8 | Points scored / game | 119.1 |
| 107.2 | Points allowed / game | 107.8 |
| +6.5 | Adjusted margin / game | +9.5 |
| L1 | Current streak | W6 |
| 7-3 | Last 10 games | 9-1 |
| 22-12 road | Home / road record | 27-7 home |
| 61-21 (+9.1) | Last season | 68-14 (+12.9) |
| No | Played yesterday | No |
Injury report Celtics
Injury report Thunder
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.