Lakers vs Pacers prediction NBA · Wednesday, March 25
At a glance
The Indiana Pacers (16-56) host the Los Angeles Lakers (46-26) on Wednesday, March 25 at 7:00 PM ET at Gainbridge Fieldhouse in NBA action. Final score: Lakers 137 – Pacers 130. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Lakers a 66% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Pacers are 10-25 at home and the Lakers are 23-14 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 1-9 for the Pacers and 9-1 for the Lakers (current streaks: Pacers W1, Lakers L1).
The analysis Model
Slight edge to the Lakers, but the Pacers have what it takes to keep it close. The model projects Pacers 113 – 118 Lakers, a margin of about 5.1 points in favor of the Lakers and a total around 231 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace.
- The overall strength gap (-6.2 vs +1.2 pts/game) is the main factor.
- The Pacers need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
- The Lakers' offense (115.9 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.
- The Lakers' defense allows clearly fewer points (114.5 pts/game).
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison Current season
LALIND
Top performers
Lakers
Luka DoncicG · #7743pts / game
LeBron JamesF · #239assists
Jaxson HayesC · #1110reboundsPacers
Pascal SiakamF · #4320pts / game
Andrew NembhardG · #219assistsPascal SiakamF · #438reboundsRecent form
LALIND
IND
Team comparison
| LAL | IND | |
|---|---|---|
| 46-26 | Record | 16-56 |
| 115.9 | Points scored / game | 112.5 |
| 114.5 | Points allowed / game | 119.7 |
| +1.2 | Adjusted margin / game | -6.2 |
| L1 | Current streak | W1 |
| 9-1 | Last 10 games | 1-9 |
| 23-14 road | Home / road record | 10-25 home |
| 50-32 (+1.2) | Last season | 50-32 (+2.2) |
| No | Played yesterday | No |
Injury report Lakers
Injury report Pacers
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.