Pacers vs Lakers prediction NBA · Friday, March 6
At a glance
The Los Angeles Lakers (37-25) host the Indiana Pacers (15-47) on Friday, March 6 at 10:30 PM ET at crypto.com Arena in NBA action. Final score: Pacers 117 – Lakers 128. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Lakers a 71% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Lakers are 18-12 at home and the Pacers are 5-25 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 5-5 for the Lakers and 2-8 for the Pacers (current streaks: Lakers L1, Pacers L7).
The analysis Model
Slight edge to the Lakers, but the Pacers have what it takes to keep it close. The model projects Lakers 118 – 111 Pacers, a margin of about 6.9 points in favor of the Lakers and a total around 229 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace. The Lakers played yesterday: fatigue often shows in the fourth quarter.
- The overall strength gap (+0.5 vs -5.7 pts/game) is the main factor.
- The Pacers need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
- The Lakers' offense (115.4 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.
- The Lakers' defense allows clearly fewer points (114.8 pts/game).
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison Current season
INDLAL
Top performers
Pacers
Pascal SiakamF · #4326pts / game
Andrew NembhardG · #28assists
Jarace WalkerF · #59reboundsLakers
Luka DoncicG · #7744pts / gameLuka DoncicG · #775assistsLuka DoncicG · #779reboundsRecent form
INDLAL
IND
Team comparison
| IND | LAL | |
|---|---|---|
| 15-47 | Record | 37-25 |
| 112.3 | Points scored / game | 115.4 |
| 119.0 | Points allowed / game | 114.8 |
| -5.7 | Adjusted margin / game | +0.5 |
| L7 | Current streak | L1 |
| 2-8 | Last 10 games | 5-5 |
| 5-25 road | Home / road record | 18-12 home |
| 50-32 (+2.2) | Last season | 50-32 (+1.2) |
| No | Played yesterday | Yes |
Injury report Pacers
Injury report Lakers
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.