Nuggets vs Suns prediction NBA · Tuesday, March 24
At a glance
The Phoenix Suns (40-32) host the Denver Nuggets (44-28) on Tuesday, March 24 at 11:00 PM ET at Mortgage Matchup Center in NBA action. Final score: Nuggets 125 – Suns 123. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Nuggets a 53% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Suns are 23-14 at home and the Nuggets are 23-15 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 5-5 for the Suns and 6-4 for the Nuggets (current streaks: Suns W1, Nuggets W2).
The analysis Model
Close to a coin flip: nothing really sets either side apart. The model projects Suns 115 – 116 Nuggets, a margin of about 0.8 points in favor of the Nuggets and a total around 231 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace.
- The Suns need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
- The Nuggets' offense (120.8 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.
- The Suns' defense allows clearly fewer points (111.8 pts/game).
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison Current season
DENPHX
Top performers
Nuggets
Nikola JokicC · #1523pts / gameNikola JokicC · #1517assistsNikola JokicC · #1517reboundsSuns
Devin BookerG · #1522pts / gameDevin BookerG · #158assists
Jordan GoodwinG · #238reboundsRecent form
DENPHXHead-to-head
DEN lead 3-0 this season.
PHX
Team comparison
| DEN | PHX | |
|---|---|---|
| 44-28 | Record | 40-32 |
| 120.8 | Points scored / game | 112.4 |
| 116.5 | Points allowed / game | 111.8 |
| +3.7 | Adjusted margin / game | +0.5 |
| W2 | Current streak | W1 |
| 6-4 | Last 10 games | 5-5 |
| 23-15 road | Home / road record | 23-14 home |
| 50-32 (+3.9) | Last season | 36-46 (-3.0) |
| No | Played yesterday | No |
Injury report Nuggets
Injury report Suns
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.