Nuggets vs Suns prediction NBA · Saturday, November 29
At a glance
The Phoenix Suns (12-8) host the Denver Nuggets (13-5) on Saturday, November 29 at 9:00 PM ET at Mortgage Matchup Center in NBA action. Final score: Nuggets 130 – Suns 112. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Nuggets a 59% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Suns are 8-3 at home and the Nuggets are 7-2 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 7-3 for the Suns and 7-3 for the Nuggets (current streaks: Suns L1, Nuggets L1).
The analysis Model
The Nuggets are favored, but the gap isn't huge. The model projects Suns 115 – 118 Nuggets, a margin of about 2.7 points in favor of the Nuggets and a total around 233 points. Expect a fast-paced, high-scoring game. The Suns and the Nuggets played yesterday: fatigue often shows in the fourth quarter.
- The overall strength gap (+1.0 vs +6.1 pts/game) is the main factor.
- The Suns need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
- The Nuggets' offense (123.0 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison Current season
DENPHX
Top performers
Nuggets
Nikola JokicC · #1526pts / gameNikola JokicC · #1510assistsNikola JokicC · #159reboundsSuns
Dillon BrooksF · #327pts / game
Devin BookerG · #157assists
Oso IghodaroF · #118reboundsRecent form
DENPHXHead-to-head
DEN lead 3-0 this season.
PHX
Team comparison
| DEN | PHX | |
|---|---|---|
| 13-5 | Record | 12-8 |
| 123.0 | Points scored / game | 115.7 |
| 115.9 | Points allowed / game | 114.5 |
| +6.1 | Adjusted margin / game | +1.0 |
| L1 | Current streak | L1 |
| 7-3 | Last 10 games | 7-3 |
| 7-2 road | Home / road record | 8-3 home |
| 50-32 (+3.9) | Last season | 36-46 (-3.0) |
| Yes | Played yesterday | Yes |
Injury report Nuggets
Injury report Suns
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.