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Kings vs Hornets prediction NBA · Tuesday, March 24

FinalSpectrum Center · FanDuel SN SE, NBC Sports CA, NBA League Pass
18% win SACwin CHA 82%
FavoriteCHA
Projected margin11.3
Projected total229
ConfidenceHigh

At a glance

The Charlotte Hornets (37-34) host the Sacramento Kings (19-53) on Tuesday, March 24 at 7:00 PM ET at Spectrum Center in NBA action. Final score: Kings 90 – Hornets 134. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Hornets a 82% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Hornets are 17-17 at home and the Kings are 6-28 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 7-3 for the Hornets and 5-5 for the Kings (current streaks: Hornets W3, Kings W1).

The analysis Model

The Hornets start with a clear edge. The model projects Hornets 120 – 109 Kings, a margin of about 11.3 points in favor of the Hornets and a total around 229 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace.

  • The overall strength gap (+1.8 vs -7.2 pts/game) is the main factor.
  • The Kings need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
  • The Hornets' defense allows clearly fewer points (112.4 pts/game).

What tips the balance

In points, positive = edge Hornets
Team strength (adjusted point differential)CHA +1.8 / SAC -7.2 per game
+9.0
Home-court advantageHornets at home
+2.3
Expected marginfor Hornets
+11.3

Scenarios

Hornets win by 10+
54%
Close game (margin ≤ 5)
21%
Kings win by 10+
4%

Stat comparison Current season

SACCHA
111.7
Points scored / game
114.5
120.2
Points allowed / game
112.4
44.5 %
Field goal %
41.7 %
30.0 %
3-point %
30.6 %
32.5
3-pointers attempted / game
43.2
73.1 %
Free throw %
85.2 %
41.5
Rebounds / game
47.4
22.8
Assists / game
20.6
6.8
Steals / game
6.8
2.5
Blocks / game
5.2
14.3
Turnovers / game
19.0

Top performers

Kings
Daeqwon PlowdenG · #2922pts / game
Malik MonkG · #014assists
Dylan CardwellC · #3211rebounds
Hornets
Coby WhiteG · #327pts / game
LaMelo BallG · #18assists
Moussa DiabateF · #1411rebounds

Recent form

Last 5 games (including preseason early in the season)
SAC
No games played yet.
CHA
No games played yet.

Head-to-head

CHA lead 2-0 this season.

Team comparison

SACCHA
19-53Record37-34
111.7Points scored / game114.5
120.2Points allowed / game112.4
-7.2Adjusted margin / game+1.8
W1Current streakW3
5-5Last 10 games7-3
6-28 roadHome / road record17-17 home
40-42 (+0.5)Last season19-63 (-9.1)
NoPlayed yesterdayNo

Sacramento Kings Injury report Kings

No injuries reported.

Charlotte Hornets Injury report Hornets

No injuries reported.

Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.