Hornets vs Kings prediction NBA · Wednesday, March 11
At a glance
The Sacramento Kings (16-50) host the Charlotte Hornets (33-33) on Wednesday, March 11 at 10:00 PM ET at Golden 1 Center in NBA action. Final score: Hornets 117 – Kings 109. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Hornets a 69% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Kings are 11-22 at home and the Hornets are 19-16 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 4-6 for the Kings and 7-3 for the Hornets (current streaks: Kings W2, Hornets W1).
The analysis Model
The Hornets are favored, but the gap isn't huge. The model projects Kings 111 – 117 Hornets, a margin of about 6.3 points in favor of the Hornets and a total around 228 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace. The Kings and the Hornets played yesterday: fatigue often shows in the fourth quarter.
- The overall strength gap (-7.3 vs +1.2 pts/game) is the main factor.
- The Kings need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
- The Hornets' defense allows clearly fewer points (112.6 pts/game).
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison Current season
CHASAC
Top performers
Hornets
LaMelo BallG · #130pts / gameLaMelo BallG · #15assists
Moussa DiabateF · #1410reboundsKings
DeMar DeRozanG · #1039pts / game
Nique CliffordG · #108assists
Precious AchiuwaF · #98reboundsRecent form
CHASAC
CHA
Team comparison
| CHA | SAC | |
|---|---|---|
| 33-33 | Record | 16-50 |
| 114.1 | Points scored / game | 111.4 |
| 112.6 | Points allowed / game | 120.1 |
| +1.2 | Adjusted margin / game | -7.3 |
| W1 | Current streak | W2 |
| 7-3 | Last 10 games | 4-6 |
| 19-16 road | Home / road record | 11-22 home |
| 19-63 (-9.1) | Last season | 40-42 (+0.5) |
| Yes | Played yesterday | Yes |
Injury report Hornets
Injury report Kings
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.