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Nets vs Trail Blazers prediction NBA · Monday, March 23

FinalModa Center · KUNP 16, BlazerVision, YES, NBA League Pass, DAZN (YES)
26% win BKNwin POR 74%
FavoritePOR
Projected margin7.9
Projected total225
ConfidenceHigh

At a glance

The Portland Trail Blazers (35-37) host the Brooklyn Nets (17-54) on Monday, March 23 at 10:00 PM ET at Moda Center in NBA action. Final score: Nets 99 – Trail Blazers 134. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Trail Blazers a 74% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Trail Blazers are 18-16 at home and the Nets are 8-28 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 6-4 for the Trail Blazers and 2-8 for the Nets (current streaks: Trail Blazers L1, Nets L7).

The analysis Model

The Trail Blazers start with a clear edge. The model projects Trail Blazers 116 – 108 Nets, a margin of about 7.9 points in favor of the Trail Blazers and a total around 225 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace. The Trail Blazers and the Nets played yesterday: fatigue often shows in the fourth quarter.

  • The overall strength gap (-1.9 vs -7.5 pts/game) is the main factor.
  • The Nets need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
  • The Trail Blazers' offense (114.5 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.

What tips the balance

In points, positive = edge Trail Blazers
Team strength (adjusted point differential)POR -1.9 / BKN -7.5 per game
+5.6
Home-court advantageTrail Blazers at home
+2.3
Expected marginfor Trail Blazers
+7.9

Scenarios

Trail Blazers win by 10+
43%
Close game (margin ≤ 5)
26%
Nets win by 10+
8%

Stat comparison Current season

BKNPOR
106.2
Points scored / game
114.5
115.0
Points allowed / game
116.8
42.9 %
Field goal %
51.1 %
36.7 %
3-point %
38.9 %
42.3
3-pointers attempted / game
43.7
76.6 %
Free throw %
70.8 %
43.5
Rebounds / game
46.3
24.0
Assists / game
30.7
10.0
Steals / game
8.3
4.0
Blocks / game
2.7
17.5
Turnovers / game
13.3

Top performers

Nets
Tyson EtienneG · #1018pts / game
Nolan TraoreG · #105assists
Josh MinottF · #005rebounds
Trail Blazers
Toumani CamaraF · #3335pts / game
Kris MurrayF · #175assists
Donovan ClinganC · #2315rebounds

Recent form

Last 5 games (including preseason early in the season)
BKN
No games played yet.
POR
No games played yet.

Head-to-head

POR lead 2-0 this season.

Team comparison

BKNPOR
17-54Record35-37
106.2Points scored / game114.5
115.0Points allowed / game116.8
-7.5Adjusted margin / game-1.9
L7Current streakL1
2-8Last 10 games6-4
8-28 roadHome / road record18-16 home
26-56 (-7.1)Last season36-46 (-3.0)
YesPlayed yesterdayYes

Brooklyn Nets Injury report Nets

No injuries reported.

Portland Trail Blazers Injury report Trail Blazers

No injuries reported.

Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.