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Trail Blazers vs Nets prediction NBA · Monday, March 16

FinalBarclays Center · KUNP 16, BlazerVision, NBA League Pass, YES, DAZN (YES)
54% win PORwin BKN 46%
FavoritePOR
Projected margin1.2
Projected total225
ConfidenceLow

At a glance

The Brooklyn Nets (17-50) host the Portland Trail Blazers (32-36) on Monday, March 16 at 7:30 PM ET at Barclays Center in NBA action. Final score: Trail Blazers 114 – Nets 95. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Trail Blazers a 54% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Nets are 9-23 at home and the Trail Blazers are 14-20 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 2-8 for the Nets and 4-6 for the Trail Blazers (current streaks: Nets L3, Trail Blazers L1).

The analysis Model

A wide-open game: the model barely separates the two teams. The model projects Nets 112 – 113 Trail Blazers, a margin of about 1.2 points in favor of the Trail Blazers and a total around 225 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace. The Trail Blazers played yesterday: fatigue often shows in the fourth quarter.

  • The overall strength gap (-7.3 vs -2.2 pts/game) is the main factor.
  • The Nets need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
  • The Trail Blazers' offense (114.4 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.

What tips the balance

In points, positive = edge Nets
Team strength (adjusted point differential)BKN -7.3 / POR -2.2 per game
-5.1
Home-court advantageNets at home
+2.3
Back-to-backTrail Blazers played yesterday
+1.6
Expected marginfor Nets
-1.2

Scenarios

Nets win by 10+
18%
Close game (margin ≤ 5)
31%
Trail Blazers win by 10+
24%

Stat comparison Current season

PORBKN
114.4
Points scored / game
106.5
117.0
Points allowed / game
115.1
51.1 %
Field goal %
42.9 %
38.9 %
3-point %
36.7 %
43.7
3-pointers attempted / game
42.3
70.8 %
Free throw %
76.6 %
46.3
Rebounds / game
43.5
30.7
Assists / game
24.0
8.3
Steals / game
10.0
2.7
Blocks / game
4.0
13.3
Turnovers / game
17.5

Top performers

Trail Blazers
Deni AvdijaF · #818pts / game
Deni AvdijaF · #85assists
Donovan ClinganC · #2311rebounds
Nets
Chaney JohnsonF · #3117pts / game
Ben SarafG · #774assists
Nic ClaxtonC · #911rebounds

Recent form

Last 5 games (including preseason early in the season)
POR
No games played yet.
BKN
No games played yet.

Head-to-head

POR lead 2-0 this season.

Team comparison

PORBKN
32-36Record17-50
114.4Points scored / game106.5
117.0Points allowed / game115.1
-2.2Adjusted margin / game-7.3
L1Current streakL3
4-6Last 10 games2-8
14-20 roadHome / road record9-23 home
36-46 (-3.0)Last season26-56 (-7.1)
YesPlayed yesterdayNo

Portland Trail Blazers Injury report Trail Blazers

No injuries reported.

Brooklyn Nets Injury report Nets

No injuries reported.

Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.