Raptors vs Jazz prediction NBA · Monday, March 23
At a glance
The Utah Jazz (21-50) host the Toronto Raptors (39-31) on Monday, March 23 at 9:00 PM ET at Delta Center in NBA action. Final score: Raptors 143 – Jazz 127. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Raptors a 61% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Jazz are 13-23 at home and the Raptors are 20-15 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 3-7 for the Jazz and 4-6 for the Raptors (current streaks: Jazz L1, Raptors L2).
The analysis Model
The Raptors are favored, but the gap isn't huge. The model projects Jazz 114 – 118 Raptors, a margin of about 3.4 points in favor of the Raptors and a total around 232 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace. The Raptors played yesterday: fatigue often shows in the fourth quarter.
- The overall strength gap (-6.6 vs +0.7 pts/game) is the main factor.
- The Jazz need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
- The Jazz's offense (116.5 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.
- The Raptors' defense allows clearly fewer points (112.5 pts/game).
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison Current season
TORUTAH
Top performers
Raptors
RJ BarrettF · #927pts / game
Jamal SheadG · #2314assists
Scottie BarnesF · #47reboundsJazz
Ace BaileyG · #1937pts / game
Kennedy ChandlerG · #29assists
Kyle FilipowskiF · #28reboundsRecent form
TORUTAH
UTAH
Team comparison
| TOR | UTAH | |
|---|---|---|
| 39-31 | Record | 21-50 |
| 113.4 | Points scored / game | 116.5 |
| 112.5 | Points allowed / game | 124.3 |
| +0.7 | Adjusted margin / game | -6.6 |
| L2 | Current streak | L1 |
| 4-6 | Last 10 games | 3-7 |
| 20-15 road | Home / road record | 13-23 home |
| 30-52 (-4.3) | Last season | 17-65 (-9.3) |
| Yes | Played yesterday | No |
Injury report Raptors
Injury report Jazz
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.