Jazz vs Raptors prediction NBA · Sunday, February 1
At a glance
The Toronto Raptors (29-21) host the Utah Jazz (15-34) on Sunday, February 1 at 6:00 PM ET at Scotiabank Arena in NBA action. Final score: Jazz 100 – Raptors 107. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Raptors a 79% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Raptors are 13-11 at home and the Jazz are 5-17 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 5-5 for the Raptors and 1-9 for the Jazz (current streaks: Raptors L2, Jazz L5).
The analysis Model
On paper, the Raptors dominate this matchup. The model projects Raptors 122 – 112 Jazz, a margin of about 10.2 points in favor of the Raptors and a total around 235 points. Expect a fast-paced, high-scoring game.
- The overall strength gap (+0.2 vs -7.7 pts/game) is the main factor.
- The Jazz need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
- The Jazz's offense (117.1 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.
- The Raptors' defense allows clearly fewer points (113.0 pts/game).
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison Current season
UTAHTOR
Top performers
Jazz
Lauri MarkkanenF · #2327pts / game
Isaiah CollierG · #87assists
Jusuf NurkicC · #3013rebounds
Raptors
RJ BarrettF · #921pts / game
RJ BarrettF · #94assists
Scottie BarnesF · #49reboundsRecent form
UTAH
TORTeam comparison
| UTAH | TOR | |
|---|---|---|
| 15-34 | Record | 29-21 |
| 117.1 | Points scored / game | 113.2 |
| 126.2 | Points allowed / game | 113.0 |
| -7.7 | Adjusted margin / game | +0.2 |
| L5 | Current streak | L2 |
| 1-9 | Last 10 games | 5-5 |
| 5-17 road | Home / road record | 13-11 home |
| 17-65 (-9.3) | Last season | 30-52 (-4.3) |
| No | Played yesterday | No |
Injury report Jazz
Injury report Raptors
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.
UTAH