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Jazz vs Raptors prediction NBA · Sunday, February 1

FinalScotiabank Arena · NBA League Pass, KJZZ-TV, Jazz+, Sportsnet
Utah Jazz
Utah Jazz
15-35 · away
Final score
100-107
Projected: 112-122
Toronto Raptors
Toronto Raptors
30-21 · home
21% win UTAHwin TOR 79%
FavoriteTOR
Projected margin10.2
Projected total235
ConfidenceHigh

At a glance

The Toronto Raptors (29-21) host the Utah Jazz (15-34) on Sunday, February 1 at 6:00 PM ET at Scotiabank Arena in NBA action. Final score: Jazz 100 – Raptors 107. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Raptors a 79% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Raptors are 13-11 at home and the Jazz are 5-17 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 5-5 for the Raptors and 1-9 for the Jazz (current streaks: Raptors L2, Jazz L5).

The analysis Model

On paper, the Raptors dominate this matchup. The model projects Raptors 122 – 112 Jazz, a margin of about 10.2 points in favor of the Raptors and a total around 235 points. Expect a fast-paced, high-scoring game.

  • The overall strength gap (+0.2 vs -7.7 pts/game) is the main factor.
  • The Jazz need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
  • The Jazz's offense (117.1 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.
  • The Raptors' defense allows clearly fewer points (113.0 pts/game).

What tips the balance

In points, positive = edge Raptors
Team strength (adjusted point differential)TOR +0.2 / UTAH -7.7 per game
+7.9
Home-court advantageRaptors at home
+2.3
Expected marginfor Raptors
+10.2

Scenarios

Raptors win by 10+
51%
Close game (margin ≤ 5)
23%
Jazz win by 10+
5%

Stat comparison Current season

UTAHTOR
117.1
Points scored / game
113.2
126.2
Points allowed / game
113.0
45.4 %
Field goal %
44.2 %
33.9 %
3-point %
30.4 %
34.8
3-pointers attempted / game
34.5
76.6 %
Free throw %
79.0 %
46.8
Rebounds / game
45.8
26.8
Assists / game
27.3
5.0
Steals / game
14.3
6.4
Blocks / game
5.5
17.0
Turnovers / game
14.0

Top performers

Jazz
Lauri MarkkanenF · #2327pts / game
Isaiah CollierG · #87assists
Jusuf NurkicC · #3013rebounds
Raptors
RJ BarrettF · #921pts / game
RJ BarrettF · #94assists
Scottie BarnesF · #49rebounds

Recent form

Last 5 games (including preseason early in the season)
UTAH
No games played yet.
TOR
No games played yet.

Head-to-head

TOR lead 2-0 this season.

Team comparison

UTAHTOR
15-34Record29-21
117.1Points scored / game113.2
126.2Points allowed / game113.0
-7.7Adjusted margin / game+0.2
L5Current streakL2
1-9Last 10 games5-5
5-17 roadHome / road record13-11 home
17-65 (-9.3)Last season30-52 (-4.3)
NoPlayed yesterdayNo

Utah Jazz Injury report Jazz

No injuries reported.

Toronto Raptors Injury report Raptors

No injuries reported.

Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.