Thunder vs 76ers prediction NBA · Monday, March 23
At a glance
The Philadelphia 76ers (39-32) host the Oklahoma City Thunder (56-15) on Monday, March 23 at 7:00 PM ET at Xfinity Mobile Arena in NBA action. Final score: Thunder 123 – 76ers 103. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Thunder a 75% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the 76ers are 20-16 at home and the Thunder are 27-8 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 6-4 for the 76ers and 10-0 for the Thunder (current streaks: 76ers W2, Thunder W11).
The analysis Model
On paper, the Thunder dominate this matchup. The model projects 76ers 110 – 119 Thunder, a margin of about 8.4 points in favor of the Thunder and a total around 229 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace.
- The overall strength gap (-1.0 vs +9.7 pts/game) is the main factor.
- The 76ers need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
- The Thunder's offense (118.9 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.
- The Thunder's defense allows clearly fewer points (107.5 pts/game).
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison Current season
OKCPHI
Top performers
Thunder
Shai Gilgeous-AlexanderG · #222pts / game
Jalen WilliamsG · #86assists
Isaiah HartensteinC · #5512rebounds76ers
VJ EdgecombeG · #7735pts / game
Cameron PaynePG · #206assists
Dominick BarlowF · #257reboundsRecent form
OKCPHI
PHI
Team comparison
| OKC | PHI | |
|---|---|---|
| 56-15 | Record | 39-32 |
| 118.9 | Points scored / game | 114.9 |
| 107.5 | Points allowed / game | 116.1 |
| +9.7 | Adjusted margin / game | -1.0 |
| W11 | Current streak | W2 |
| 10-0 | Last 10 games | 6-4 |
| 27-8 road | Home / road record | 20-16 home |
| 68-14 (+12.9) | Last season | 24-58 (-6.2) |
| No | Played yesterday | No |
Injury report Thunder
Injury report 76ers
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.