76ers vs Thunder prediction NBA · Sunday, December 28
At a glance
The Oklahoma City Thunder (26-5) host the Philadelphia 76ers (16-13) on Sunday, December 28 at 3:30 PM ET at Paycom Center in NBA action. Final score: 76ers 104 – Thunder 129. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Thunder a 88% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Thunder are 14-2 at home and the 76ers are 7-5 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 6-4 for the Thunder and 6-4 for the 76ers (current streaks: Thunder L2, 76ers L2).
The analysis Model
On paper, the Thunder dominate this matchup. The model projects Thunder 122 – 107 76ers, a margin of about 14.9 points in favor of the Thunder and a total around 229 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace.
- The overall strength gap (+11.6 vs -1.0 pts/game) is the main factor.
- The 76ers need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
- The Thunder's offense (121.1 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.
- The Thunder's defense allows clearly fewer points (107.4 pts/game).
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison Current season
PHIOKC
Top performers
76ers
Tyrese MaxeyG · #028pts / gameTyrese MaxeyG · #05assists
Adem BonaC · #308reboundsThunder
Chet HolmgrenC · #729pts / game
Jalen WilliamsG · #86assistsChet HolmgrenC · #79reboundsRecent form
PHIOKC
PHI
Team comparison
| PHI | OKC | |
|---|---|---|
| 16-13 | Record | 26-5 |
| 114.2 | Points scored / game | 121.1 |
| 115.4 | Points allowed / game | 107.4 |
| -1.0 | Adjusted margin / game | +11.6 |
| L2 | Current streak | L2 |
| 6-4 | Last 10 games | 6-4 |
| 7-5 road | Home / road record | 14-2 home |
| 24-58 (-6.2) | Last season | 68-14 (+12.9) |
| No | Played yesterday | No |
Injury report 76ers
Injury report Thunder
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.