Lakers vs Pistons prediction NBA · Monday, March 23
At a glance
The Detroit Pistons (51-19) host the Los Angeles Lakers (46-25) on Monday, March 23 at 7:00 PM ET at Little Caesars Arena in NBA action. Final score: Lakers 110 – Pistons 113. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Pistons a 71% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Pistons are 27-8 at home and the Lakers are 23-13 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 6-4 for the Pistons and 9-1 for the Lakers (current streaks: Pistons W3, Lakers W9).
The analysis Model
Slight edge to the Pistons, but the Lakers have what it takes to keep it close. The model projects Pistons 118 – 111 Lakers, a margin of about 7.0 points in favor of the Pistons and a total around 229 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace.
- The overall strength gap (+5.9 vs +1.2 pts/game) is the main factor.
- The Lakers need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
- The Pistons' defense allows clearly fewer points (110.1 pts/game).
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison Current season
LALDET
Top performers
Lakers
Luka DoncicG · #7732pts / game
LeBron JamesF · #2310assists
Deandre AytonC · #810reboundsPistons
Daniss JenkinsG · #2430pts / gameDaniss JenkinsG · #248assists
Jalen DurenC · #011reboundsRecent form
LALDET
DET
Team comparison
| LAL | DET | |
|---|---|---|
| 46-25 | Record | 51-19 |
| 116.0 | Points scored / game | 117.1 |
| 114.5 | Points allowed / game | 110.1 |
| +1.2 | Adjusted margin / game | +5.9 |
| W9 | Current streak | W3 |
| 9-1 | Last 10 games | 6-4 |
| 23-13 road | Home / road record | 27-8 home |
| 50-32 (+1.2) | Last season | 44-38 (+1.9) |
| No | Played yesterday | No |
Injury report Lakers
Injury report Pistons
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.