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Pistons vs Lakers prediction NBA · Tuesday, December 30

Finalcrypto.com Arena · NBC, Peacock, Spectrum Sports Net, Spectrum Sports Net +, FanDuel SN DET
54% win DETwin LAL 46%
FavoriteDET
Projected margin1.4
Projected total231
ConfidenceLow

At a glance

The Los Angeles Lakers (20-10) host the Detroit Pistons (24-8) on Tuesday, December 30 at 10:30 PM ET at crypto.com Arena in NBA action. Final score: Pistons 128 – Lakers 106. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Pistons a 54% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Lakers are 8-5 at home and the Pistons are 11-6 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 5-5 for the Lakers and 7-3 for the Pistons (current streaks: Lakers W1, Pistons L2).

The analysis Model

Close to a coin flip: nothing really sets either side apart. The model projects Lakers 115 – 116 Pistons, a margin of about 1.4 points in favor of the Pistons and a total around 231 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace.

  • The Lakers need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.

What tips the balance

In points, positive = edge Lakers
Team strength (adjusted point differential)LAL +0.5 / DET +4.1 per game
-3.7
Home-court advantageLakers at home
+2.3
Expected marginfor Lakers
-1.4

Scenarios

Lakers win by 10+
18%
Close game (margin ≤ 5)
31%
Pistons win by 10+
24%

Stat comparison Current season

DETLAL
117.9
Points scored / game
116.1
113.1
Points allowed / game
115.5
45.9 %
Field goal %
52.9 %
37.9 %
3-point %
39.2 %
36.4
3-pointers attempted / game
36.2
74.4 %
Free throw %
79.1 %
46.8
Rebounds / game
38.0
27.0
Assists / game
24.0
8.0
Steals / game
10.8
7.2
Blocks / game
5.8
15.6
Turnovers / game
16.6

Top performers

Pistons
Cade CunninghamG · #227pts / game
Cade CunninghamG · #211assists
Jalen DurenC · #08rebounds
Lakers
Luka DoncicG · #7730pts / game
Luka DoncicG · #7711assists
Jarred VanderbiltF · #28rebounds

Recent form

Last 5 games (including preseason early in the season)
DET
No games played yet.
LAL
No games played yet.

Head-to-head

DET lead 2-0 this season.

Team comparison

DETLAL
24-8Record20-10
117.9Points scored / game116.1
113.1Points allowed / game115.5
+4.1Adjusted margin / game+0.5
L2Current streakW1
7-3Last 10 games5-5
11-6 roadHome / road record8-5 home
44-38 (+1.9)Last season50-32 (+1.2)
NoPlayed yesterdayNo

Detroit Pistons Injury report Pistons

No injuries reported.

Los Angeles Lakers Injury report Lakers

No injuries reported.

Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.