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Raptors vs Suns prediction NBA · Sunday, March 22

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Toronto Raptors

39-31 · away

Final score

98-120

Projected: 112-113

Phoenix Suns

40-32 · home

50% win TORwin PHX 50%

FavoritePHX

Projected margin0.1

Projected total224

ConfidenceLow

At a glance

The Phoenix Suns (39-32) host the Toronto Raptors (39-30) on Sunday, March 22 at 9:00 PM ET at Mortgage Matchup Center in NBA action. Final score: Raptors 98 – Suns 120. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Suns a 50% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Suns are 22-14 at home and the Raptors are 20-14 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 4-6 for the Suns and 5-5 for the Raptors (current streaks: Suns L5, Raptors L1).

The analysis Model

Close to a coin flip: nothing really sets either side apart. The model projects Suns 113 – 112 Raptors, a margin of about 0.1 points in favor of the Suns and a total around 224 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace. The Suns played yesterday: fatigue often shows in the fourth quarter.

The Raptors need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.

What tips the balance

In points, positive = edge Suns

Team strength (adjusted point differential)PHX +0.3 / TOR +0.9 per game

-0.6

Home-court advantageSuns at home

+2.3

Back-to-backSuns played yesterday

-1.6

Expected marginfor Suns

+0.1

Scenarios

Suns win by 10+

21%

Close game (margin ≤ 5)

31%

Raptors win by 10+

21%

Stat comparison Current season

TORPHX

113.5

Points scored / game

112.3

112.4

Points allowed / game

112.0

44.2 %

Field goal %

45.6 %

30.4 %

3-point %

31.9 %

34.5

3-pointers attempted / game

39.7

79.0 %

Free throw %

73.9 %

45.8

Rebounds / game

39.7

27.3

Assists / game

25.3

14.3

Steals / game

8.7

5.5

Blocks / game

5.3

14.0

Turnovers / game

14.0

Top performers

Raptors

Scottie BarnesF · #417pts / game

Scottie BarnesF · #46assists

Scottie BarnesF · #45rebounds

Suns

Devin BookerG · #1525pts / game

Jalen GreenG · #47assists

Jordan GoodwinG · #237rebounds

Recent form

Last 5 games (including preseason early in the season)

TOR

No games played yet.

PHX

No games played yet.

Head-to-head

Tied 1-1 this season.

Team comparison

TOR		PHX
39-30	Record	39-32
113.5	Points scored / game	112.3
112.4	Points allowed / game	112.0
+0.9	Adjusted margin / game	+0.3
L1	Current streak	L5
5-5	Last 10 games	4-6
20-14 road	Home / road record	22-14 home
30-52 (-4.3)	Last season	36-46 (-3.0)
No	Played yesterday	Yes

Injury report Raptors

No injuries reported.

Injury report Suns

No injuries reported.

Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.