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Suns vs Raptors prediction NBA · Friday, March 13

FinalScotiabank Arena · Arizona's Family 3TV, Suns Live, NBA League Pass, TSN
Phoenix Suns
Phoenix Suns
39-28 · away
Final score
115-122
Projected: 110-114
Toronto Raptors
Toronto Raptors
37-29 · home
38% win PHXwin TOR 62%
FavoriteTOR
Projected margin3.7
Projected total223
ConfidenceMedium

At a glance

The Toronto Raptors (36-29) host the Phoenix Suns (39-27) on Friday, March 13 at 7:30 PM ET at Scotiabank Arena in NBA action. Final score: Suns 115 – Raptors 122. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Raptors a 62% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Raptors are 17-16 at home and the Suns are 17-14 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 4-6 for the Raptors and 7-3 for the Suns (current streaks: Raptors L2, Suns W4).

The analysis Model

The Raptors are favored, but the gap isn't huge. The model projects Raptors 114 – 110 Suns, a margin of about 3.7 points in favor of the Raptors and a total around 223 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace. The Suns played yesterday: fatigue often shows in the fourth quarter.

  • The Suns need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.

What tips the balance

In points, positive = edge Raptors
Team strength (adjusted point differential)TOR +0.5 / PHX +0.7 per game
-0.2
Home-court advantageRaptors at home
+2.3
Back-to-backSuns played yesterday
+1.6
Expected marginfor Raptors
+3.7

Scenarios

Raptors win by 10+
31%
Close game (margin ≤ 5)
30%
Suns win by 10+
14%

Stat comparison Current season

PHXTOR
112.7
Points scored / game
113.0
111.9
Points allowed / game
112.4
45.6 %
Field goal %
44.2 %
31.9 %
3-point %
30.4 %
39.7
3-pointers attempted / game
34.5
73.9 %
Free throw %
79.0 %
39.7
Rebounds / game
45.8
25.3
Assists / game
27.3
8.7
Steals / game
14.3
5.3
Blocks / game
5.5
14.0
Turnovers / game
14.0

Top performers

Suns
Jalen GreenG · #434pts / game
Grayson AllenG · #86assists
Royce O'NealeF · #006rebounds
Raptors
Brandon IngramF · #736pts / game
Jamal SheadG · #238assists
Sandro MamukelashviliF · #548rebounds

Recent form

Last 5 games (including preseason early in the season)
PHX
No games played yet.
TOR
No games played yet.

Head-to-head

Tied 1-1 this season.

Team comparison

PHXTOR
39-27Record36-29
112.7Points scored / game113.0
111.9Points allowed / game112.4
+0.7Adjusted margin / game+0.5
W4Current streakL2
7-3Last 10 games4-6
17-14 roadHome / road record17-16 home
36-46 (-3.0)Last season30-52 (-4.3)
YesPlayed yesterdayNo

Phoenix Suns Injury report Suns

No injuries reported.

Toronto Raptors Injury report Raptors

No injuries reported.

Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.