Timberwolves vs Celtics prediction NBA · Sunday, March 22
At a glance
The Boston Celtics (47-23) host the Minnesota Timberwolves (43-28) on Sunday, March 22 at 8:00 PM ET at TD Garden in NBA action. Final score: Timberwolves 102 – Celtics 92. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Celtics a 67% chance to win: prediction missed. This season, the Celtics are 24-10 at home and the Timberwolves are 19-15 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 7-3 for the Celtics and 5-5 for the Timberwolves (current streaks: Celtics W4, Timberwolves L1).
The analysis Model
The Celtics are favored, but the gap isn't huge. The model projects Celtics 116 – 111 Timberwolves, a margin of about 5.5 points in favor of the Celtics and a total around 227 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace.
- The Timberwolves need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
- The Timberwolves' offense (118.0 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.
- The Celtics' defense allows clearly fewer points (107.0 pts/game).
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison Current season
MINBOS
Top performers
Timberwolves
Bones HylandG · #823pts / game
Ayo DosunmuG · #136assists
Rudy GobertC · #2714rebounds
Celtics
Jaylen BrownG · #729pts / game
Jaylen BrownG · #74assists
Jayson TatumF · #011reboundsRecent form
MIN
BOSTeam comparison
| MIN | BOS | |
|---|---|---|
| 43-28 | Record | 47-23 |
| 118.0 | Points scored / game | 114.7 |
| 114.0 | Points allowed / game | 107.0 |
| +3.4 | Adjusted margin / game | +6.5 |
| L1 | Current streak | W4 |
| 5-5 | Last 10 games | 7-3 |
| 19-15 road | Home / road record | 24-10 home |
| 49-33 (+5.0) | Last season | 61-21 (+9.1) |
| No | Played yesterday | No |
Injury report Timberwolves
Injury report Celtics
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.
BOS