Bucks vs Suns prediction NBA · Saturday, March 21
At a glance
The Phoenix Suns (39-31) host the Milwaukee Bucks (28-41) on Saturday, March 21 at 10:00 PM ET at Mortgage Matchup Center in NBA action. Final score: Bucks 108 – Suns 105. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Suns a 69% chance to win: prediction missed. This season, the Suns are 22-13 at home and the Bucks are 12-22 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 5-5 for the Suns and 2-8 for the Bucks (current streaks: Suns L4, Bucks L2).
The analysis Model
The Suns are favored, but the gap isn't huge. The model projects Suns 116 – 110 Bucks, a margin of about 6.2 points in favor of the Suns and a total around 226 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace.
- The Bucks need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
- The Suns' defense allows clearly fewer points (112.0 pts/game).
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison Current season
MILPHX
Top performers
Bucks
Ryan RollinsG · #1326pts / gameRyan RollinsG · #137assists
Jericho SimsC · #0011reboundsSuns
Jalen GreenG · #424pts / game
Devin BookerG · #157assists
Ryan DunnF · #08reboundsRecent form
MILPHX
PHX
Team comparison
| MIL | PHX | |
|---|---|---|
| 28-41 | Record | 39-31 |
| 111.7 | Points scored / game | 112.4 |
| 115.9 | Points allowed / game | 112.0 |
| -3.6 | Adjusted margin / game | +0.4 |
| L2 | Current streak | L4 |
| 2-8 | Last 10 games | 5-5 |
| 12-22 road | Home / road record | 22-13 home |
| 48-34 (+2.5) | Last season | 36-46 (-3.0) |
| No | Played yesterday | No |
Injury report Bucks
Injury report Suns
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.