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Suns vs Bucks prediction NBA · Tuesday, March 10

FinalFiserv Forum · FanDuel SN WI, Arizona's Family 3TV, Suns Live, NBA League Pass
Phoenix Suns
Phoenix Suns
38-27 · away
Final score
129-114
Projected: 113-112
Milwaukee Bucks
Milwaukee Bucks
27-37 · home
53% win PHXwin MIL 47%
FavoritePHX
Projected margin1.1
Projected total226
ConfidenceLow

At a glance

The Milwaukee Bucks (27-36) host the Phoenix Suns (37-27) on Tuesday, March 10 at 8:00 PM ET at Fiserv Forum in NBA action. Final score: Suns 129 – Bucks 114. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Suns a 53% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Bucks are 15-17 at home and the Suns are 15-14 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 4-6 for the Bucks and 5-5 for the Suns (current streaks: Bucks L1, Suns W2).

The analysis Model

A wide-open game: the model barely separates the two teams. The model projects Bucks 112 – 113 Suns, a margin of about 1.1 points in favor of the Suns and a total around 226 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace.

  • The Bucks need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
  • The Suns' defense allows clearly fewer points (111.9 pts/game).

What tips the balance

In points, positive = edge Bucks
Team strength (adjusted point differential)MIL -3.0 / PHX +0.4 per game
-3.4
Home-court advantageBucks at home
+2.3
Expected marginfor Bucks
-1.1

Scenarios

Bucks win by 10+
19%
Close game (margin ≤ 5)
31%
Suns win by 10+
24%

Stat comparison Current season

PHXMIL
112.3
Points scored / game
111.8
111.9
Points allowed / game
115.3
45.6 %
Field goal %
44.9 %
31.9 %
3-point %
34.0 %
39.7
3-pointers attempted / game
41.2
73.9 %
Free throw %
71.6 %
39.7
Rebounds / game
49.8
25.3
Assists / game
24.6
8.7
Steals / game
5.8
5.3
Blocks / game
4.0
14.0
Turnovers / game
16.8

Top performers

Suns
Devin BookerG · #1527pts / game
Collin GillespieG · #129assists
Collin GillespieG · #129rebounds
Bucks
Kyle KuzmaF · #1833pts / game
Ryan RollinsG · #137assists
Ousmane DiengF · #2110rebounds

Recent form

Last 5 games (including preseason early in the season)
PHX
No games played yet.
MIL
No games played yet.

Head-to-head

Tied 1-1 this season.

Team comparison

PHXMIL
37-27Record27-36
112.3Points scored / game111.8
111.9Points allowed / game115.3
+0.4Adjusted margin / game-3.0
W2Current streakL1
5-5Last 10 games4-6
15-14 roadHome / road record15-17 home
36-46 (-3.0)Last season48-34 (+2.5)
NoPlayed yesterdayNo

Phoenix Suns Injury report Suns

No injuries reported.

Milwaukee Bucks Injury report Bucks

No injuries reported.

Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.