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76ers vs Jazz prediction NBA · Saturday, March 21

FinalDelta Center · KJZZ-TV, Jazz+, NBC Sports Phil, NBA League Pass
Philadelphia 76ers
Philadelphia 76ers
39-32 · away
Final score
126-116
Projected: 119-116
Utah Jazz
Utah Jazz
21-50 · home
60% win PHIwin UTAH 40%
FavoritePHI
Projected margin3.1
Projected total236
ConfidenceLow

At a glance

The Utah Jazz (21-49) host the Philadelphia 76ers (38-32) on Saturday, March 21 at 9:30 PM ET at Delta Center in NBA action. Final score: 76ers 126 – Jazz 116. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the 76ers a 60% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Jazz are 13-22 at home and the 76ers are 18-16 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 3-7 for the Jazz and 5-5 for the 76ers (current streaks: Jazz W1, 76ers W1).

The analysis Model

Slight edge to the 76ers, but the Jazz have what it takes to keep it close. The model projects Jazz 116 – 119 76ers, a margin of about 3.1 points in favor of the 76ers and a total around 236 points. Expect a fast-paced, high-scoring game.

  • The overall strength gap (-6.6 vs -1.2 pts/game) is the main factor.
  • The Jazz need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
  • The 76ers' defense allows clearly fewer points (116.1 pts/game).

What tips the balance

In points, positive = edge Jazz
Team strength (adjusted point differential)UTAH -6.6 / PHI -1.2 per game
-5.4
Home-court advantageJazz at home
+2.3
Expected marginfor Jazz
-3.1

Scenarios

Jazz win by 10+
15%
Close game (margin ≤ 5)
30%
76ers win by 10+
29%

Stat comparison Current season

PHIUTAH
114.7
Points scored / game
116.5
116.1
Points allowed / game
124.3
42.8 %
Field goal %
45.4 %
32.6 %
3-point %
33.9 %
35.0
3-pointers attempted / game
34.8
77.5 %
Free throw %
76.6 %
42.2
Rebounds / game
46.8
24.6
Assists / game
26.8
9.8
Steals / game
5.0
5.6
Blocks / game
6.4
12.6
Turnovers / game
17.0

Top performers

76ers
Quentin GrimesG · #525pts / game
Cameron PaynePG · #207assists
VJ EdgecombeG · #7713rebounds
Jazz
Ace BaileyG · #1925pts / game
Bez MbengG · #197assists
Ace BaileyG · #197rebounds

Recent form

Last 5 games (including preseason early in the season)
PHI
No games played yet.
UTAH
No games played yet.

Head-to-head

PHI lead 2-0 this season.

Team comparison

PHIUTAH
38-32Record21-49
114.7Points scored / game116.5
116.1Points allowed / game124.3
-1.2Adjusted margin / game-6.6
W1Current streakW1
5-5Last 10 games3-7
18-16 roadHome / road record13-22 home
24-58 (-6.2)Last season17-65 (-9.3)
NoPlayed yesterdayNo

Philadelphia 76ers Injury report 76ers

No injuries reported.

Utah Jazz Injury report Jazz

No injuries reported.

Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.