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Jazz vs 76ers prediction NBA · Wednesday, March 4

FinalXfinity Mobile Arena · KJZZ-TV, Jazz+, NBA League Pass, NBC Sports Phil
Utah Jazz
Utah Jazz
18-44 · away
Final score
102-106
Projected: 114-121
Philadelphia 76ers
Philadelphia 76ers
34-28 · home
30% win UTAHwin PHI 70%
FavoritePHI
Projected margin6.6
Projected total235
ConfidenceMedium

At a glance

The Philadelphia 76ers (33-28) host the Utah Jazz (18-43) on Wednesday, March 4 at 7:30 PM ET at Xfinity Mobile Arena in NBA action. Final score: Jazz 102 – 76ers 106. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the 76ers a 70% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the 76ers are 16-16 at home and the Jazz are 7-22 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 4-6 for the 76ers and 2-8 for the Jazz (current streaks: 76ers L2, Jazz L6).

The analysis Model

The 76ers are favored, but the gap isn't huge. The model projects 76ers 121 – 114 Jazz, a margin of about 6.6 points in favor of the 76ers and a total around 235 points. Expect a fast-paced, high-scoring game. The 76ers played yesterday: fatigue often shows in the fourth quarter.

  • The overall strength gap (-1.0 vs -6.9 pts/game) is the main factor.
  • The Jazz need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
  • The 76ers' defense allows clearly fewer points (116.1 pts/game).

What tips the balance

In points, positive = edge 76ers
Team strength (adjusted point differential)PHI -1.0 / UTAH -6.9 per game
+5.9
Home-court advantage76ers at home
+2.3
Back-to-back76ers played yesterday
-1.6
Expected marginfor 76ers
+6.6

Scenarios

76ers win by 10+
39%
Close game (margin ≤ 5)
27%
Jazz win by 10+
9%

Stat comparison Current season

UTAHPHI
116.9
Points scored / game
114.9
125.0
Points allowed / game
116.1
45.4 %
Field goal %
42.8 %
33.9 %
3-point %
32.6 %
34.8
3-pointers attempted / game
35.0
76.6 %
Free throw %
77.5 %
46.8
Rebounds / game
42.2
26.8
Assists / game
24.6
5.0
Steals / game
9.8
6.4
Blocks / game
5.6
17.0
Turnovers / game
12.6

Top performers

Jazz
Keyonte GeorgeG · #330pts / game
Isaiah CollierG · #85assists
Kyle FilipowskiF · #211rebounds
76ers
Tyrese MaxeyG · #025pts / game
Tyrese MaxeyG · #06assists
Jabari WalkerF · #3310rebounds

Recent form

Last 5 games (including preseason early in the season)
UTAH
No games played yet.
PHI
No games played yet.

Head-to-head

PHI lead 2-0 this season.

Team comparison

UTAHPHI
18-43Record33-28
116.9Points scored / game114.9
125.0Points allowed / game116.1
-6.9Adjusted margin / game-1.0
L6Current streakL2
2-8Last 10 games4-6
7-22 roadHome / road record16-16 home
17-65 (-9.3)Last season24-58 (-6.2)
NoPlayed yesterdayYes

Utah Jazz Injury report Jazz

No injuries reported.

Philadelphia 76ers Injury report 76ers

No injuries reported.

Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.