Pacers vs Spurs prediction NBA · Saturday, March 21
At a glance
The San Antonio Spurs (52-19) host the Indiana Pacers (15-55) on Saturday, March 21 at 8:00 PM ET at Frost Bank Center in NBA action. Final score: Pacers 119 – Spurs 134. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Spurs a 86% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Spurs are 27-7 at home and the Pacers are 5-30 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 9-1 for the Spurs and 0-10 for the Pacers (current streaks: Spurs W4, Pacers L15).
The analysis Model
On paper, the Spurs dominate this matchup. The model projects Spurs 122 – 109 Pacers, a margin of about 13.2 points in favor of the Spurs and a total around 231 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace.
- The overall strength gap (+4.7 vs -6.2 pts/game) is the main factor.
- The Pacers need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
- The Spurs' offense (118.0 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.
- The Spurs' defense allows clearly fewer points (112.4 pts/game).
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison Current season
INDSA
Top performers
Pacers
Andrew NembhardG · #225pts / game
T.J. McConnellG · #98assists
Jarace WalkerF · #54reboundsSpurs
Keldon JohnsonF · #324pts / game
De'Aaron FoxG · #47assists
Carter BryantF · #119reboundsRecent form
INDSA
SA
Team comparison
| IND | SA | |
|---|---|---|
| 15-55 | Record | 52-19 |
| 112.2 | Points scored / game | 118.0 |
| 119.5 | Points allowed / game | 112.4 |
| -6.2 | Adjusted margin / game | +4.7 |
| L15 | Current streak | W4 |
| 0-10 | Last 10 games | 9-1 |
| 5-30 road | Home / road record | 27-7 home |
| 50-32 (+2.2) | Last season | 34-48 (-2.8) |
| No | Played yesterday | No |
Injury report Pacers
Injury report Spurs
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.