Spurs vs Pacers prediction NBA · Friday, January 2
At a glance
The Indiana Pacers (6-28) host the San Antonio Spurs (24-10) on Friday, January 2 at 7:00 PM ET at Gainbridge Fieldhouse in NBA action. Final score: Spurs 123 – Pacers 113. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Spurs a 67% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Pacers are 5-13 at home and the Spurs are 12-6 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 0-10 for the Pacers and 7-3 for the Spurs (current streaks: Pacers L10, Spurs W1).
The analysis Model
Slight edge to the Spurs, but the Pacers have what it takes to keep it close. The model projects Pacers 113 – 119 Spurs, a margin of about 5.6 points in favor of the Spurs and a total around 232 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace.
- The overall strength gap (-5.2 vs +2.7 pts/game) is the main factor.
- The Pacers need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
- The Spurs' offense (118.2 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.
- The Spurs' defense allows clearly fewer points (115.0 pts/game).
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison Current season
SAIND
Top performers
Spurs
De'Aaron FoxG · #424pts / game
Stephon CastleG · #58assistsStephon CastleG · #58reboundsPacers
Pascal SiakamF · #4323pts / game
Andrew NembhardG · #26assistsPascal SiakamF · #439reboundsRecent form
SAIND
SA
Team comparison
| SA | IND | |
|---|---|---|
| 24-10 | Record | 6-28 |
| 118.2 | Points scored / game | 112.0 |
| 115.0 | Points allowed / game | 118.1 |
| +2.7 | Adjusted margin / game | -5.2 |
| W1 | Current streak | L10 |
| 7-3 | Last 10 games | 0-10 |
| 12-6 road | Home / road record | 5-13 home |
| 34-48 (-2.8) | Last season | 50-32 (+2.2) |
| No | Played yesterday | No |
Injury report Spurs
Injury report Pacers
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.