Warriors vs Hawks prediction NBA · Saturday, March 21
At a glance
The Atlanta Hawks (38-32) host the Golden State Warriors (33-37) on Saturday, March 21 at 8:00 PM ET at State Farm Arena in NBA action. Final score: Warriors 110 – Hawks 126. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Hawks a 57% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Hawks are 19-16 at home and the Warriors are 14-22 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 9-1 for the Hawks and 2-8 for the Warriors (current streaks: Hawks L1, Warriors L2).
The analysis Model
Close to a coin flip: nothing really sets either side apart. The model projects Hawks 116 – 114 Warriors, a margin of about 2.3 points in favor of the Hawks and a total around 230 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace. The Hawks and the Warriors played yesterday: fatigue often shows in the fourth quarter.
- The Warriors need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
- The Hawks' offense (117.8 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.
- The Warriors' defense allows clearly fewer points (113.9 pts/game).
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison Current season
GSATL
Top performers
Warriors
De'Anthony MeltonG · #820pts / game
Gui SantosF · #156assists
Draymond GreenF · #236reboundsHawks
Dyson DanielsG · #528pts / gameDyson DanielsG · #56assists
Mouhamed GueyeF · #1810reboundsRecent form
GSATL
ATL
Team comparison
| GS | ATL | |
|---|---|---|
| 33-37 | Record | 38-32 |
| 114.7 | Points scored / game | 117.8 |
| 113.9 | Points allowed / game | 117.0 |
| +0.6 | Adjusted margin / game | +0.7 |
| L2 | Current streak | L1 |
| 2-8 | Last 10 games | 9-1 |
| 14-22 road | Home / road record | 19-16 home |
| 48-34 (+3.3) | Last season | 40-42 (-1.1) |
| Yes | Played yesterday | Yes |
Injury report Warriors
Injury report Hawks
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.