Hawks vs Warriors prediction NBA · Sunday, January 11
At a glance
The Golden State Warriors (21-18) host the Atlanta Hawks (19-21) on Sunday, January 11 at 8:30 PM ET at Chase Center in NBA action. Final score: Hawks 124 – Warriors 111. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Warriors a 65% chance to win: prediction missed. This season, the Warriors are 13-5 at home and the Hawks are 12-10 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 7-3 for the Warriors and 4-6 for the Hawks (current streaks: Warriors W2, Hawks W2).
The analysis Model
Slight edge to the Warriors, but the Hawks have what it takes to keep it close. The model projects Warriors 119 – 114 Hawks, a margin of about 4.8 points in favor of the Warriors and a total around 232 points. Expect a fast-paced, high-scoring game.
- The Hawks need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
- The Hawks' offense (118.2 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.
- The Warriors' defense allows clearly fewer points (112.7 pts/game).
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison Current season
ATLGS
Top performers
Hawks
Nickeil Alexander-WalkerG · #724pts / game
Dyson DanielsG · #59assists
Onyeka OkongwuF · #1712reboundsWarriors
Stephen CurryG · #3031pts / game
Jimmy Butler IIIF · #106assists
Draymond GreenF · #239reboundsRecent form
ATLGS
ATL
Team comparison
| ATL | GS | |
|---|---|---|
| 19-21 | Record | 21-18 |
| 118.2 | Points scored / game | 115.1 |
| 118.7 | Points allowed / game | 112.7 |
| -0.4 | Adjusted margin / game | +2.1 |
| W2 | Current streak | W2 |
| 4-6 | Last 10 games | 7-3 |
| 12-10 road | Home / road record | 13-5 home |
| 40-42 (-1.1) | Last season | 48-34 (+3.3) |
| No | Played yesterday | No |
Injury report Hawks
Injury report Warriors
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.