Raptors vs Nuggets prediction NBA · Friday, March 20
At a glance
The Denver Nuggets (42-28) host the Toronto Raptors (39-29) on Friday, March 20 at 9:00 PM ET at Ball Arena in NBA action. Final score: Raptors 115 – Nuggets 121. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Nuggets a 65% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Nuggets are 19-13 at home and the Raptors are 20-13 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 5-5 for the Nuggets and 5-5 for the Raptors (current streaks: Nuggets L1, Raptors W3).
The analysis Model
The Nuggets are favored, but the gap isn't huge. The model projects Nuggets 118 – 113 Raptors, a margin of about 4.8 points in favor of the Nuggets and a total around 232 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace.
- The Raptors need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
- The Nuggets' offense (120.7 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.
- The Raptors' defense allows clearly fewer points (112.3 pts/game).
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison Current season
TORDEN
Top performers
Raptors
Jakob PoeltlC · #1923pts / game
Scottie BarnesF · #48assistsJakob PoeltlC · #1911reboundsNuggets
Jamal MurrayG · #2731pts / game
Nikola JokicC · #159assistsNikola JokicC · #158reboundsRecent form
TORDEN
DEN
Team comparison
| TOR | DEN | |
|---|---|---|
| 39-29 | Record | 42-28 |
| 113.5 | Points scored / game | 120.7 |
| 112.3 | Points allowed / game | 116.5 |
| +1.0 | Adjusted margin / game | +3.5 |
| W3 | Current streak | L1 |
| 5-5 | Last 10 games | 5-5 |
| 20-13 road | Home / road record | 19-13 home |
| 30-52 (-4.3) | Last season | 50-32 (+3.9) |
| No | Played yesterday | No |
Injury report Raptors
Injury report Nuggets
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.