Nuggets vs Raptors prediction NBA · Wednesday, December 31
At a glance
The Toronto Raptors (20-14) host the Denver Nuggets (22-10) on Wednesday, December 31 at 7:30 PM ET at Scotiabank Arena in NBA action. Final score: Nuggets 106 – Raptors 103. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Nuggets a 60% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Raptors are 10-7 at home and the Nuggets are 12-5 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 5-5 for the Raptors and 6-4 for the Nuggets (current streaks: Raptors W2, Nuggets L2).
The analysis Model
Slight edge to the Nuggets, but the Raptors have what it takes to keep it close. The model projects Raptors 116 – 119 Nuggets, a margin of about 3.1 points in favor of the Nuggets and a total around 235 points. Expect a fast-paced, high-scoring game.
- The overall strength gap (-0.0 vs +5.4 pts/game) is the main factor.
- The Raptors need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
- The Nuggets' offense (124.4 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.
- The Raptors' defense allows clearly fewer points (113.3 pts/game).
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison Current season
DENTOR
Top performers
Nuggets
Peyton WatsonG · #824pts / game
Jamal MurrayG · #276assists
Jonas ValanciunasC · #179reboundsRaptors
Brandon IngramF · #730pts / game
Scottie BarnesF · #410assistsScottie BarnesF · #414reboundsRecent form
DENTOR
DEN
Team comparison
| DEN | TOR | |
|---|---|---|
| 22-10 | Record | 20-14 |
| 124.4 | Points scored / game | 113.3 |
| 118.0 | Points allowed / game | 113.3 |
| +5.4 | Adjusted margin / game | -0.0 |
| L2 | Current streak | W2 |
| 6-4 | Last 10 games | 5-5 |
| 12-5 road | Home / road record | 10-7 home |
| 50-32 (+3.9) | Last season | 30-52 (-4.3) |
| No | Played yesterday | No |
Injury report Nuggets
Injury report Raptors
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.