Hawks vs Rockets prediction NBA · Friday, March 20
At a glance
The Houston Rockets (41-27) host the Atlanta Hawks (38-31) on Friday, March 20 at 8:00 PM ET at Toyota Center (Houston) in NBA action. Final score: Hawks 95 – Rockets 117. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Rockets a 65% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Rockets are 23-10 at home and the Hawks are 19-15 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 4-6 for the Rockets and 10-0 for the Hawks (current streaks: Rockets L2, Hawks W11).
The analysis Model
Slight edge to the Rockets, but the Hawks have what it takes to keep it close. The model projects Rockets 117 – 112 Hawks, a margin of about 4.8 points in favor of the Rockets and a total around 229 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace.
- The Hawks need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
- The Hawks' offense (118.1 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.
- The Rockets' defense allows clearly fewer points (109.9 pts/game).
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison Current season
ATLHOU
Top performers
Hawks
Nickeil Alexander-WalkerG · #721pts / gameNickeil Alexander-WalkerG · #74assists
Onyeka OkongwuF · #178reboundsRockets
Kevin DurantF · #725pts / game
Alperen SengunC · #2810assists
Tari EasonF · #1710reboundsRecent form
ATLHOU
HOU
Team comparison
| ATL | HOU | |
|---|---|---|
| 38-31 | Record | 41-27 |
| 118.1 | Points scored / game | 113.9 |
| 117.0 | Points allowed / game | 109.9 |
| +0.9 | Adjusted margin / game | +3.4 |
| W11 | Current streak | L2 |
| 10-0 | Last 10 games | 4-6 |
| 19-15 road | Home / road record | 23-10 home |
| 40-42 (-1.1) | Last season | 52-30 (+4.5) |
| No | Played yesterday | No |
Injury report Hawks
Injury report Rockets
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.