Rockets vs Hawks prediction NBA · Thursday, January 29
At a glance
The Atlanta Hawks (24-25) host the Houston Rockets (28-17) on Thursday, January 29 at 8:00 PM ET at State Farm Arena in NBA action. Final score: Rockets 104 – Hawks 86. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Rockets a 60% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Hawks are 9-13 at home and the Rockets are 12-13 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 6-4 for the Hawks and 6-4 for the Rockets (current streaks: Hawks W4, Rockets L1).
The analysis Model
Slight edge to the Rockets, but the Hawks have what it takes to keep it close. The model projects Hawks 113 – 116 Rockets, a margin of about 3.0 points in favor of the Rockets and a total around 230 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace. The Hawks and the Rockets played yesterday: fatigue often shows in the fourth quarter.
- The overall strength gap (-0.6 vs +4.7 pts/game) is the main factor.
- The Hawks need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
- The Rockets' defense allows clearly fewer points (110.4 pts/game).
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison Current season
HOUATL
Top performers
Rockets
Kevin DurantF · #731pts / game
Amen ThompsonG · #15assists
Alperen SengunC · #2813reboundsHawks
CJ McCollumG · #323pts / game
Dyson DanielsG · #57assists
Christian KolokoC · #357reboundsRecent form
HOUATL
HOU
Team comparison
| HOU | ATL | |
|---|---|---|
| 28-17 | Record | 24-25 |
| 115.9 | Points scored / game | 117.8 |
| 110.4 | Points allowed / game | 118.6 |
| +4.7 | Adjusted margin / game | -0.6 |
| L1 | Current streak | W4 |
| 6-4 | Last 10 games | 6-4 |
| 12-13 road | Home / road record | 9-13 home |
| 52-30 (+4.5) | Last season | 40-42 (-1.1) |
| Yes | Played yesterday | Yes |
Injury report Rockets
Injury report Hawks
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.