Warriors vs Pistons prediction NBA · Friday, March 20
At a glance
The Detroit Pistons (50-19) host the Golden State Warriors (33-36) on Friday, March 20 at 7:30 PM ET at Little Caesars Arena in NBA action. Final score: Warriors 101 – Pistons 115. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Pistons a 68% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Pistons are 26-8 at home and the Warriors are 14-21 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 5-5 for the Pistons and 2-8 for the Warriors (current streaks: Pistons W2, Warriors L1).
The analysis Model
The Pistons are favored, but the gap isn't huge. The model projects Pistons 116 – 110 Warriors, a margin of about 5.7 points in favor of the Pistons and a total around 227 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace. The Pistons played yesterday: fatigue often shows in the fourth quarter.
- The overall strength gap (+5.9 vs +0.8 pts/game) is the main factor.
- The Warriors need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
- The Pistons' defense allows clearly fewer points (110.2 pts/game).
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison Current season
GSDET
Top performers
Warriors
Brandin PodziemskiG · #215pts / game
Draymond GreenF · #236assistsBrandin PodziemskiG · #26reboundsPistons
Jalen DurenC · #023pts / game
Daniss JenkinsG · #248assistsDaniss JenkinsG · #247reboundsRecent form
GSDET
DET
Team comparison
| GS | DET | |
|---|---|---|
| 33-36 | Record | 50-19 |
| 114.8 | Points scored / game | 117.1 |
| 113.9 | Points allowed / game | 110.2 |
| +0.8 | Adjusted margin / game | +5.9 |
| L1 | Current streak | W2 |
| 2-8 | Last 10 games | 5-5 |
| 14-21 road | Home / road record | 26-8 home |
| 48-34 (+3.3) | Last season | 44-38 (+1.9) |
| No | Played yesterday | Yes |
Injury report Warriors
Injury report Pistons
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.