Match analysisToday's gamesNBA standingsEuroLeagueTrack record
← Back

Pistons vs Warriors prediction NBA · Friday, January 30

FinalChase Center · ESPN, FanDuel SN DET, NBC Sports BA
45% win DETwin GS 55%
FavoriteGS
Projected margin1.6
Projected total227
ConfidenceLow

At a glance

The Golden State Warriors (27-22) host the Detroit Pistons (34-12) on Friday, January 30 at 10:00 PM ET at Chase Center in NBA action. Final score: Pistons 131 – Warriors 124. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Warriors a 55% chance to win: prediction missed. This season, the Warriors are 17-7 at home and the Pistons are 15-7 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 6-4 for the Warriors and 7-3 for the Pistons (current streaks: Warriors W1, Pistons L1).

The analysis Model

Close to a coin flip: nothing really sets either side apart. The model projects Warriors 114 – 113 Pistons, a margin of about 1.6 points in favor of the Warriors and a total around 227 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace. The Pistons played yesterday: fatigue often shows in the fourth quarter.

  • The Pistons need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.

What tips the balance

In points, positive = edge Warriors
Team strength (adjusted point differential)GS +2.5 / DET +4.8 per game
-2.3
Home-court advantageWarriors at home
+2.3
Back-to-backPistons played yesterday
+1.6
Expected marginfor Warriors
+1.6

Scenarios

Warriors win by 10+
25%
Close game (margin ≤ 5)
31%
Pistons win by 10+
18%

Stat comparison Current season

DETGS
116.5
Points scored / game
116.0
110.8
Points allowed / game
113.0
45.9 %
Field goal %
45.0 %
37.9 %
3-point %
36.9 %
36.4
3-pointers attempted / game
39.0
74.4 %
Free throw %
82.2 %
46.8
Rebounds / game
43.8
27.0
Assists / game
25.6
8.0
Steals / game
9.6
7.2
Blocks / game
3.8
15.6
Turnovers / game
16.8

Top performers

Pistons
Cade CunninghamG · #229pts / game
Cade CunninghamG · #211assists
Jalen DurenC · #013rebounds
Warriors
Stephen CurryG · #3023pts / game
Brandin PodziemskiG · #28assists
Brandin PodziemskiG · #28rebounds

Recent form

Last 5 games (including preseason early in the season)
DET
No games played yet.
GS
No games played yet.

Head-to-head

DET lead 2-0 this season.

Team comparison

DETGS
34-12Record27-22
116.5Points scored / game116.0
110.8Points allowed / game113.0
+4.8Adjusted margin / game+2.5
L1Current streakW1
7-3Last 10 games6-4
15-7 roadHome / road record17-7 home
44-38 (+1.9)Last season48-34 (+3.3)
YesPlayed yesterdayNo

Detroit Pistons Injury report Pistons

No injuries reported.

Golden State Warriors Injury report Warriors

No injuries reported.

Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.