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Knicks vs Nets prediction NBA · Friday, March 20

FinalBarclays Center · YES, DAZN (YES), MSG, NBA League Pass, DAZN (MSG)
80% win NYwin BKN 20%
FavoriteNY
Projected margin10.6
Projected total225
ConfidenceHigh

At a glance

The Brooklyn Nets (17-52) host the New York Knicks (46-25) on Friday, March 20 at 7:30 PM ET at Barclays Center in NBA action. Final score: Knicks 93 – Nets 92. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Knicks a 80% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Nets are 9-25 at home and the Knicks are 20-16 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 2-8 for the Nets and 7-3 for the Knicks (current streaks: Nets L5, Knicks W4).

The analysis Model

On paper, the Knicks dominate this matchup. The model projects Nets 107 – 118 Knicks, a margin of about 10.6 points in favor of the Knicks and a total around 225 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace.

  • The overall strength gap (-7.6 vs +5.3 pts/game) is the main factor.
  • The Nets need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
  • The Knicks' offense (117.0 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.
  • The Knicks' defense allows clearly fewer points (110.8 pts/game).

What tips the balance

In points, positive = edge Nets
Team strength (adjusted point differential)BKN -7.6 / NY +5.3 per game
-12.9
Home-court advantageNets at home
+2.3
Expected marginfor Nets
-10.6

Scenarios

Nets win by 10+
5%
Close game (margin ≤ 5)
22%
Knicks win by 10+
52%

Stat comparison Current season

NYBKN
117.0
Points scored / game
106.2
110.8
Points allowed / game
115.2
42.2 %
Field goal %
42.9 %
35.9 %
3-point %
36.7 %
39.0
3-pointers attempted / game
42.3
75.8 %
Free throw %
76.6 %
48.2
Rebounds / game
43.5
26.8
Assists / game
24.0
7.2
Steals / game
10.0
4.4
Blocks / game
4.0
14.8
Turnovers / game
17.5

Top performers

Knicks
Karl-Anthony TownsC · #3226pts / game
Jalen BrunsonG · #118assists
Karl-Anthony TownsC · #3215rebounds
Nets
Josh MinottF · #0022pts / game
Nolan TraoreG · #107assists
Nic ClaxtonC · #97rebounds

Recent form

Last 5 games (including preseason early in the season)
NY
No games played yet.
BKN
No games played yet.

Team comparison

NYBKN
46-25Record17-52
117.0Points scored / game106.2
110.8Points allowed / game115.2
+5.3Adjusted margin / game-7.6
W4Current streakL5
7-3Last 10 games2-8
20-16 roadHome / road record9-25 home
51-31 (+4.1)Last season26-56 (-7.1)
NoPlayed yesterdayNo

New York Knicks Injury report Knicks

No injuries reported.

Brooklyn Nets Injury report Nets

No injuries reported.

Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.