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Nets vs Knicks prediction NBA · Wednesday, January 21

FinalMadison Square Garden · YES, NBA League Pass, DAZN (YES), MSG, DAZN (MSG)
21% win BKNwin NY 79%
FavoriteNY
Projected margin10.1
Projected total227
ConfidenceHigh

At a glance

The New York Knicks (26-18) host the Brooklyn Nets (12-29) on Wednesday, January 21 at 7:30 PM ET at Madison Square Garden in NBA action. Final score: Nets 66 – Knicks 120. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Knicks a 79% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Knicks are 17-6 at home and the Nets are 6-13 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 2-8 for the Knicks and 2-8 for the Nets (current streaks: Knicks L4, Nets L2).

The analysis Model

On paper, the Knicks dominate this matchup. The model projects Knicks 118 – 108 Nets, a margin of about 10.1 points in favor of the Knicks and a total around 227 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace.

  • The overall strength gap (+2.9 vs -4.9 pts/game) is the main factor.
  • The Nets need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
  • The Knicks' offense (117.5 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.

What tips the balance

In points, positive = edge Knicks
Team strength (adjusted point differential)NY +2.9 / BKN -4.9 per game
+7.8
Home-court advantageKnicks at home
+2.3
Expected marginfor Knicks
+10.1

Scenarios

Knicks win by 10+
50%
Close game (margin ≤ 5)
23%
Nets win by 10+
5%

Stat comparison Current season

BKNNY
108.1
Points scored / game
117.5
113.8
Points allowed / game
114.2
42.9 %
Field goal %
42.2 %
36.7 %
3-point %
35.9 %
42.3
3-pointers attempted / game
39.0
76.6 %
Free throw %
75.8 %
43.5
Rebounds / game
48.2
24.0
Assists / game
26.8
10.0
Steals / game
7.2
4.0
Blocks / game
4.4
17.5
Turnovers / game
14.8

Top performers

Nets
Michael Porter Jr.F · #1712pts / game
Egor DeminG · #83assists
Michael Porter Jr.F · #176rebounds
Knicks
Jalen BrunsonG · #1120pts / game
Jalen BrunsonG · #115assists
Josh HartG · #39rebounds

Recent form

Last 5 games (including preseason early in the season)
BKN
No games played yet.
NY
No games played yet.

Team comparison

BKNNY
12-29Record26-18
108.1Points scored / game117.5
113.8Points allowed / game114.2
-4.9Adjusted margin / game+2.9
L2Current streakL4
2-8Last 10 games2-8
6-13 roadHome / road record17-6 home
26-56 (-7.1)Last season51-31 (+4.1)
NoPlayed yesterdayNo

Brooklyn Nets Injury report Nets

No injuries reported.

New York Knicks Injury report Knicks

No injuries reported.

Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.