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Bucks vs Jazz prediction NBA · Thursday, March 19

FinalDelta Center · FanDuel SN WI, NBA League Pass, KJZZ-TV, Jazz+
Milwaukee Bucks
Milwaukee Bucks
28-41 · away
Final score
96-128
Projected: 118-115
Utah Jazz
Utah Jazz
21-49 · home
60% win MILwin UTAH 40%
FavoriteMIL
Projected margin3.0
Projected total233
ConfidenceLow

At a glance

The Utah Jazz (20-49) host the Milwaukee Bucks (28-40) on Thursday, March 19 at 9:00 PM ET at Delta Center in NBA action. Final score: Bucks 96 – Jazz 128. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Bucks a 60% chance to win: prediction missed. This season, the Jazz are 12-22 at home and the Bucks are 12-21 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 2-8 for the Jazz and 2-8 for the Bucks (current streaks: Jazz L4, Bucks L1).

The analysis Model

Slight edge to the Bucks, but the Jazz have what it takes to keep it close. The model projects Jazz 115 – 118 Bucks, a margin of about 3.0 points in favor of the Bucks and a total around 233 points. Expect a fast-paced, high-scoring game. The Jazz played yesterday: fatigue often shows in the fourth quarter.

  • The Jazz need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
  • The Jazz's offense (116.4 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.
  • The Bucks' defense allows clearly fewer points (115.7 pts/game).

What tips the balance

In points, positive = edge Jazz
Team strength (adjusted point differential)UTAH -7.0 / MIL -3.3 per game
-3.7
Home-court advantageJazz at home
+2.3
Back-to-backJazz played yesterday
-1.6
Expected marginfor Jazz
-3.0

Scenarios

Jazz win by 10+
15%
Close game (margin ≤ 5)
30%
Bucks win by 10+
29%

Stat comparison Current season

MILUTAH
111.9
Points scored / game
116.4
115.7
Points allowed / game
124.6
44.9 %
Field goal %
45.4 %
34.0 %
3-point %
33.9 %
41.2
3-pointers attempted / game
34.8
71.6 %
Free throw %
76.6 %
49.8
Rebounds / game
46.8
24.6
Assists / game
26.8
5.8
Steals / game
5.0
4.0
Blocks / game
6.4
16.8
Turnovers / game
17.0

Top performers

Bucks
Ryan RollinsG · #1315pts / game
Ryan RollinsG · #135assists
Bobby PortisF · #956rebounds
Jazz
Ace BaileyG · #1933pts / game
Elijah HarklessG · #9410assists
Andersson GarciaG · #011rebounds

Recent form

Last 5 games (including preseason early in the season)
MIL
No games played yet.
UTAH
No games played yet.

Head-to-head

Tied 1-1 this season.

Team comparison

MILUTAH
28-40Record20-49
111.9Points scored / game116.4
115.7Points allowed / game124.6
-3.3Adjusted margin / game-7.0
L1Current streakL4
2-8Last 10 games2-8
12-21 roadHome / road record12-22 home
48-34 (+2.5)Last season17-65 (-9.3)
NoPlayed yesterdayYes

Milwaukee Bucks Injury report Bucks

No injuries reported.

Utah Jazz Injury report Jazz

No injuries reported.

Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.