Lakers vs Heat prediction NBA · Thursday, March 19
At a glance
The Miami Heat (38-31) host the Los Angeles Lakers (44-25) on Thursday, March 19 at 8:00 PM ET at Kaseya Center in NBA action. Final score: Lakers 134 – Heat 126. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Heat a 66% chance to win: prediction missed. This season, the Heat are 23-12 at home and the Lakers are 21-13 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 7-3 for the Heat and 9-1 for the Lakers (current streaks: Heat L2, Lakers W7).
The analysis Model
Slight edge to the Heat, but the Lakers have what it takes to keep it close. The model projects Heat 118 – 113 Lakers, a margin of about 5.2 points in favor of the Heat and a total around 231 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace. The Lakers played yesterday: fatigue often shows in the fourth quarter.
- The Lakers need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison Current season
LALMIA
Top performers
Lakers
Luka DoncicG · #7760pts / game
LeBron JamesF · #2310assistsLeBron JamesF · #2315reboundsHeat
Bam AdebayoC · #1328pts / game
Davion MitchellG · #26assistsBam AdebayoC · #1310reboundsRecent form
LALMIA
MIA
Team comparison
| LAL | MIA | |
|---|---|---|
| 44-25 | Record | 38-31 |
| 115.9 | Points scored / game | 118.8 |
| 114.5 | Points allowed / game | 115.9 |
| +1.2 | Adjusted margin / game | +2.5 |
| W7 | Current streak | L2 |
| 9-1 | Last 10 games | 7-3 |
| 21-13 road | Home / road record | 23-12 home |
| 50-32 (+1.2) | Last season | 37-45 (+0.6) |
| Yes | Played yesterday | No |
Injury report Lakers
Injury report Heat
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.