Hawks vs Mavericks prediction NBA · Wednesday, March 18
At a glance
The Dallas Mavericks (23-46) host the Atlanta Hawks (37-31) on Wednesday, March 18 at 8:30 PM ET at American Airlines Center in NBA action. Final score: Hawks 135 – Mavericks 120. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Hawks a 57% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Mavericks are 14-20 at home and the Hawks are 18-15 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 2-8 for the Mavericks and 10-0 for the Hawks (current streaks: Mavericks L1, Hawks W10).
The analysis Model
Close to a coin flip: nothing really sets either side apart. The model projects Mavericks 115 – 118 Hawks, a margin of about 2.3 points in favor of the Hawks and a total around 233 points. Expect a fast-paced, high-scoring game.
- The overall strength gap (-3.8 vs +0.8 pts/game) is the main factor.
- The Mavericks need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
- The Hawks' offense (117.9 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison Current season
ATLDAL
Top performers
Hawks
CJ McCollumG · #324pts / game
Jalen JohnsonF · #19assistsJalen JohnsonF · #111reboundsMavericks
Daniel GaffordF · #2124pts / game
Ryan NembhardG · #912assists
P.J. WashingtonF · #259reboundsRecent form
ATLDAL
DAL
Team comparison
| ATL | DAL | |
|---|---|---|
| 37-31 | Record | 23-46 |
| 117.9 | Points scored / game | 113.3 |
| 117.0 | Points allowed / game | 117.8 |
| +0.8 | Adjusted margin / game | -3.8 |
| W10 | Current streak | L1 |
| 10-0 | Last 10 games | 2-8 |
| 18-15 road | Home / road record | 14-20 home |
| 40-42 (-1.1) | Last season | 39-43 (-1.2) |
| No | Played yesterday | No |
Injury report Hawks
Injury report Mavericks
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.