Knicks vs Grizzlies prediction NBA · Wednesday, April 1
At a glance
The Memphis Grizzlies (25-50) host the New York Knicks (49-28) on Wednesday, April 1 at 8:00 PM ET at FedExForum in NBA action. Final score: Knicks 130 – Grizzlies 119. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Knicks a 61% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Grizzlies are 14-24 at home and the Knicks are 21-19 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 2-8 for the Grizzlies and 7-3 for the Knicks (current streaks: Grizzlies L1, Knicks L3).
The analysis Model
The Knicks are favored, but the gap isn't huge. The model projects Grizzlies 113 – 117 Knicks, a margin of about 3.6 points in favor of the Knicks and a total around 230 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace. The Knicks played yesterday: fatigue often shows in the fourth quarter.
- The overall strength gap (-2.6 vs +4.9 pts/game) is the main factor.
- The Grizzlies need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
- The Knicks' defense allows clearly fewer points (110.7 pts/game).
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison Current season
NYMEM
Top performers
Knicks
OG AnunobyF · #825pts / game
Karl-Anthony TownsC · #3211assistsOG AnunobyF · #813reboundsGrizzlies
GG JacksonF · #4520pts / game
Cam SpencerG · #248assists
Olivier-Maxence ProsperF · #184reboundsRecent form
NYMEM
MEM
Team comparison
| NY | MEM | |
|---|---|---|
| 49-28 | Record | 25-50 |
| 116.5 | Points scored / game | 115.9 |
| 110.7 | Points allowed / game | 119.0 |
| +4.9 | Adjusted margin / game | -2.6 |
| L3 | Current streak | L1 |
| 7-3 | Last 10 games | 2-8 |
| 21-19 road | Home / road record | 14-24 home |
| 51-31 (+4.1) | Last season | 48-34 (+4.9) |
| Yes | Played yesterday | No |
Injury report Knicks
Injury report Grizzlies
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.